TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072931
Played Sep 4Finished
Anatolii Kovalenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115611115114––
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:38 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Kovalenko to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Kovalenko above · Oleksandr Mytsyk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 64 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Anatolii Kovalenko at 60.1%
64 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Kovalenko 19–10 Oleksandr Mytsyk Oleksandr Mytsyk has won 10 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kovalenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-10 in 29
Kovalenko
Correct
gap of 9 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovalenko 1388 vs Mytsyk 1320
Kovalenko
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovalenko 60% vs Mytsyk 40%
Kovalenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovalenko 40% vs Mytsyk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovalenko -1 · Mytsyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kovalenko) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalenko 1.57 / Mytsyk 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Kovalenko)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13072931
Kovalenko1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 71 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it66% 46 of 70
Mytsyk2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 64 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back22% 23 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovalenko8wins
AwayMytsyk2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKovalenko leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalenko71.4%5 of 7
AwayMytsyk0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalenko7Mytsyk3n = 10Kovalenko took 7 of 10
S2Kovalenko7Mytsyk3n = 10Kovalenko took 7 of 10
S3Kovalenko7Mytsyk3n = 10Kovalenko took 7 of 10
S4Kovalenko3Mytsyk4n = 7Mytsyk took 4 of 7
S5Kovalenko4Mytsyk2n = 6Kovalenko took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovalenkoMytsykK − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.838.8+5.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalenkoMytsykBasisWin rate · lifetime269 / 505 vs 532 / 107253.3%49.6%269 / 505 vs 532 / 1072Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalenkoKovalenko 1.57/Mytsyk 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Kovalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kovalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 12:50A. Kovalenko—136111192O. Mytsyk—1111913113
WJul 31 · 05:00A. Kovalenko—1111510113O. Mytsyk—66111272
WJul 26 · 12:30A. Kovalenko—911118113O. Mytsyk—11991172
WJul 23 · 06:50A. Kovalenko—1114113O. Mytsyk—91250
LJul 20 · 12:50A. Kovalenko—13951162O. Mytsyk—1111119113
WJul 13 · 09:20A. Kovalenko—111197113O. Mytsyk—73111162
WJul 8 · 12:05A. Kovalenko—81113113O. Mytsyk—1121161
WJul 6 · 06:50A. Kovalenko—1111123O. Mytsyk—55100
WJul 2 · 08:50A. Kovalenko—1211113O. Mytsyk—10990
WMay 31 · 12:50A. Kovalenko—1161111113O. Mytsyk—13118892
A. Kovalenko10
LSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393LSep 6 · 10:50E. Populovskyi1.91811411143A. Kovalenko1.80114119122LSep 6 · 08:50D. Patalakha2.0011137113A. Kovalenko1.734111171WSep 6 · 07:50A. Kovalenko1.4012711113M. Stetsenko2.751011791WSep 6 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.83109100A. Kovalenko1.831211123LSep 4 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.73881111113A. Kovalenko2.0011118722WSep 4 · 08:05M. Stetsenko2.631111171A. Kovalenko1.4411813113WSep 4 · 07:05A. Kovalenko1.8391111113E. Populovskyi1.83117771WSep 4 · 06:05V. Melnykov2.10961111102A. Kovalenko1.67111129123LSep 3 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.251111913113A. Kovalenko1.57136111192
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 10:35O. Mytsyk1.91119881E. Populovskyi1.8091111113WSep 4 · 08:35V. Melnykov2.25111410482O. Mytsyk1.579121211113LSep 4 · 06:35M. Stetsenko1.4411714113O. Mytsyk2.636111241LSep 4 · 05:35K. Klymenko1.611111113O. Mytsyk2.209870WSep 3 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.251111913113A. Kovalenko1.57136111192LSep 3 · 10:50K. Klymenko1.6751117113O. Mytsyk2.101121581LSep 3 · 08:50M. Stetsenko1.5011119113O. Mytsyk2.50951151WSep 3 · 07:50O. Mytsyk2.001011811113O. Ovsiienko1.7312711262LSep 3 · 06:50O. Leonenko2.631111113O. Mytsyk1.449680
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