TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067054
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012117811112116
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:17 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Ovsiienko to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Mytsyk above · Oleksandr Ovsiienko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 89 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Oleksandr Ovsiienko at 54.5%
89 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mytsyk 11–10 Oleksandr Ovsiienko Oleksandr Ovsiienko has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:17What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ovsiienko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-10 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mytsyk 1332 vs Ovsiienko 1472
Ovsiienko
Wrong
both rated, 139 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mytsyk 20% vs Ovsiienko 80%
Ovsiienko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mytsyk 40% vs Ovsiienko 70%
Ovsiienko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mytsyk -3 · Ovsiienko +1
Mytsyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Ovsiienko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovsiienko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMytsyk 2.00 / Ovsiienko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Ovsiienko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13067054
Mytsyk2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 62 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back21% 21 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Ovsiienko1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 140 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it98% 86 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it85% 113 of 133
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMytsyk3wins
AwayOvsiienko7wins
8 of 10 to a deciderOvsiienko leads 7–3, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMytsyk75%3 of 4
AwayOvsiienko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mytsyk4Ovsiienko6n = 10Ovsiienko took 6 of 10
S2Mytsyk5Ovsiienko5n = 10split evenly
S3Mytsyk3Ovsiienko7n = 10Ovsiienko took 7 of 10
S4Mytsyk5Ovsiienko4n = 9Mytsyk took 5 of 9
S5Mytsyk3Ovsiienko5n = 8Ovsiienko took 5 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMytsykOvsiienkoM − OBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.643.5+0.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMytsykOvsiienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime535 / 1073 vs 442 / 84649.9%52.3%535 / 1073 vs 442 / 846Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvsiienkoMytsyk 2.00/Ovsiienko 1.73
Miss
What we said
54.5%
Ovsiienko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 06:50O. Mytsyk—781191O. Ovsiienko—11119113
LAug 27 · 05:30O. Mytsyk—81191172O. Ovsiienko—119117113
WAug 26 · 13:30O. Mytsyk—119118113O. Ovsiienko—31161142
LAug 23 · 14:40O. Mytsyk—36100O. Ovsiienko—1111123
LAug 21 · 08:05O. Mytsyk—311411132O. Ovsiienko—119118153
LAug 20 · 06:50O. Mytsyk—711611102O. Ovsiienko—116114123
LAug 19 · 15:30O. Mytsyk—111191092O. Ovsiienko—561112113
WAug 17 · 07:50O. Mytsyk—1481011113O. Ovsiienko—121112652
LAug 16 · 16:30O. Mytsyk—61111782O. Ovsiienko—118611113
WAug 12 · 07:05O. Mytsyk—1112711113O. Ovsiienko—71411342
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 12:05A. Kovalenko1.5711611113O. Mytsyk2.25511541LSep 4 · 10:35O. Mytsyk1.91119881E. Populovskyi1.8091111113WSep 4 · 08:35V. Melnykov2.25111410482O. Mytsyk1.579121211113LSep 4 · 06:35M. Stetsenko1.4411714113O. Mytsyk2.636111241LSep 4 · 05:35K. Klymenko1.611111113O. Mytsyk2.209870WSep 3 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.251111913113A. Kovalenko1.57136111192LSep 3 · 10:50K. Klymenko1.6751117113O. Mytsyk2.101121581LSep 3 · 08:50M. Stetsenko1.5011119113O. Mytsyk2.50951151LSep 3 · 06:50O. Leonenko2.631111113O. Mytsyk1.449680
O. Ovsiienko10
WSep 7 · 07:05O. Shyshman1.507860O. Ovsiienko2.501111113LSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191WSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko2.638101181O. Ovsiienko1.4411128113LSep 6 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.918640S. Baranskyi1.801111113LSep 6 · 15:30O. Leonenko1.5011119113O. Ovsiienko2.50891171LSep 6 · 13:30V. Smyk1.617111173O. Ovsiienko2.20116621LSep 6 · 12:30B. Zaika1.3611311113O. Ovsiienko3.00811651LSep 3 · 12:20O. Leonenko1.509111110113O. Ovsiienko2.5011971212LSep 3 · 11:20A. Kovalenko1.611111123O. Ovsiienko2.2049100WSep 3 · 09:50K. Klymenko3.0011812562O. Ovsiienko1.369111011113
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