TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066853
Played Sep 3Finished
Anatolii Kovalenko
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141191210––––
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:08 and never touched — 58.3% is still 58.3%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Kovalenko to win
58.3%
58.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Kovalenko above · Oleksandr Ovsiienko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 57 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Anatolii Kovalenko at 58.3%
57 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Kovalenko 6–10 Oleksandr Ovsiienko Anatolii Kovalenko has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:08What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kovalenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-10 in 16
Ovsiienko
Wrong
gap of 4 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovalenko 1359 vs Ovsiienko 1466
Ovsiienko
Wrong
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovalenko 0% vs Ovsiienko 60%
Ovsiienko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovalenko 20% vs Ovsiienko 80%
Ovsiienko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovalenko -5 · Ovsiienko +1
Kovalenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kovalenko) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovsiienko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalenko 1.61 / Ovsiienko 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Kovalenko)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13066853
Kovalenko1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite51% won 70 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it67% 45 of 67
Ovsiienko2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 81 of 213
Down 0–1, comes back15% 17 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovalenko4wins
AwayOvsiienko6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderOvsiienko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalenko80%4 of 5
AwayOvsiienko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalenko5Ovsiienko5n = 10split evenly
S2Kovalenko4Ovsiienko6n = 10Ovsiienko took 6 of 10
S3Kovalenko8Ovsiienko2n = 10Kovalenko took 8 of 10
S4Kovalenko1Ovsiienko3n = 4Ovsiienko took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovalenkoOvsiienkoK − OBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.034.1−1.1per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalenkoOvsiienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime265 / 499 vs 442 / 84453.1%52.4%265 / 499 vs 442 / 844Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalenkoKovalenko 1.61/Ovsiienko 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.1%
Kovalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kovalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 6 · 09:50A. Kovalenko—1111113O. Ovsiienko—4280
LJul 23 · 12:20A. Kovalenko—138118112O. Ovsiienko—1111911133
WJul 20 · 08:50A. Kovalenko—1111113O. Ovsiienko—6740
LNov 12 · 12:00A. Kovalenko—541161O. Ovsiienko—11119113
WNov 11 · 18:10A. Kovalenko—1311113O. Ovsiienko—11830
LNov 5 · 05:30A. Kovalenko—1151111102O. Ovsiienko—131187123
LNov 3 · 05:30A. Kovalenko—7650O. Ovsiienko—1111113
LOct 29 · 12:26A. Kovalenko—441271O. Ovsiienko—111110113
WOct 28 · 13:10A. Kovalenko—1113123O. Ovsiienko—611100
LOct 27 · 08:00A. Kovalenko—13640O. Ovsiienko—1511113
A. Kovalenko10
LSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393LSep 6 · 10:50E. Populovskyi1.91811411143A. Kovalenko1.80114119122LSep 6 · 08:50D. Patalakha2.0011137113A. Kovalenko1.734111171WSep 6 · 07:50A. Kovalenko1.4012711113M. Stetsenko2.751011791WSep 6 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.83109100A. Kovalenko1.831211123WSep 4 · 12:05A. Kovalenko1.5711611113O. Mytsyk2.25511541LSep 4 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.73881111113A. Kovalenko2.0011118722WSep 4 · 08:05M. Stetsenko2.631111171A. Kovalenko1.4411813113WSep 4 · 07:05A. Kovalenko1.8391111113E. Populovskyi1.83117771WSep 4 · 06:05V. Melnykov2.10961111102A. Kovalenko1.67111129123
O. Ovsiienko10
WSep 7 · 07:05O. Shyshman1.507860O. Ovsiienko2.501111113LSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191WSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko2.638101181O. Ovsiienko1.4411128113LSep 6 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.918640S. Baranskyi1.801111113LSep 6 · 15:30O. Leonenko1.5011119113O. Ovsiienko2.50891171LSep 6 · 13:30V. Smyk1.617111173O. Ovsiienko2.20116621LSep 6 · 12:30B. Zaika1.3611311113O. Ovsiienko3.00811651LSep 3 · 12:20O. Leonenko1.509111110113O. Ovsiienko2.5011971212WSep 3 · 09:50K. Klymenko3.0011812562O. Ovsiienko1.369111011113LSep 3 · 07:50O. Mytsyk2.001011811113O. Ovsiienko1.7312711262
Upcoming Matches
A. Kovalenko
Nothing scheduled
O. Ovsiienko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.