TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067362
Played Sep 3Finished
Kostiantyn Klymenko
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1198111210511611
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:39 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Ovsiienko to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKostiantyn Klymenko above · Oleksandr Ovsiienko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 94 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Oleksandr Ovsiienko at 70.4%
94 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Klymenko 8–13 Oleksandr Ovsiienko Kostiantyn Klymenko has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:39What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Ovsiienko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-13 in 21
Ovsiienko
Correct
gap of 5 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klymenko 1396 vs Ovsiienko 1457
Ovsiienko
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klymenko 20% vs Ovsiienko 60%
Ovsiienko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klymenko 40% vs Ovsiienko 70%
Ovsiienko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klymenko -1 · Ovsiienko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Ovsiienko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovsiienko form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlymenko 3.00 / Ovsiienko 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Ovsiienko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13067362
Klymenko3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 81 of 188
Down 0–1, comes back21% 21 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Ovsiienko1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 140 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it98% 86 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it85% 113 of 133
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlymenko2wins
AwayOvsiienko8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderOvsiienko leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlymenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayOvsiienko77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klymenko1Ovsiienko9n = 10Ovsiienko took 9 of 10
S2Klymenko2Ovsiienko8n = 10Ovsiienko took 8 of 10
S3Klymenko2Ovsiienko8n = 10Ovsiienko took 8 of 10
S4Klymenko2Ovsiienko2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlymenkoOvsiienkoK − OBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match28.135.9−7.8per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlymenkoOvsiienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime445 / 859 vs 441 / 84651.8%52.1%445 / 859 vs 441 / 846Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvsiienkoKlymenko 3.00/Ovsiienko 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.4%
Ovsiienko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ovsiienko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 17 · 05:50K. Klymenko—5950O. Ovsiienko—1111113
LAug 13 · 07:50K. Klymenko—751161O. Ovsiienko—11116113
LAug 6 · 12:20K. Klymenko—41050O. Ovsiienko—1112113
LAug 3 · 04:30K. Klymenko—7980O. Ovsiienko—1111113
LJul 30 · 05:05K. Klymenko—6750O. Ovsiienko—1111113
LJul 29 · 08:30K. Klymenko—9980O. Ovsiienko—1111113
WJul 27 · 08:30K. Klymenko—61111113O. Ovsiienko—119981
LJul 23 · 09:50K. Klymenko—11710111O. Ovsiienko—71112133
LJul 13 · 05:00K. Klymenko—8540O. Ovsiienko—1111113
WJul 9 · 05:35K. Klymenko—911911113O. Ovsiienko—11711662
K. Klymenko10
LSep 7 · 08:05K. Klymenko2.75139461O. Shyshman1.40111111113LSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191LSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko2.638101181O. Ovsiienko1.4411128113LSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 15:00V. Smyk1.5711791192K. Klymenko2.25411113113WSep 6 · 14:00K. Klymenko1.57714146103S. Baranskyi2.251112121172LSep 6 · 13:00O. Leonenko1.611111613103K. Klymenko2.2047111552WSep 4 · 11:05M. Stetsenko2.6368120K. Klymenko1.441111143WSep 4 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.73881111113A. Kovalenko2.0011118722
O. Ovsiienko10
WSep 7 · 07:05O. Shyshman1.507860O. Ovsiienko2.501111113LSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191WSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko2.638101181O. Ovsiienko1.4411128113LSep 6 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.918640S. Baranskyi1.801111113LSep 6 · 15:30O. Leonenko1.5011119113O. Ovsiienko2.50891171LSep 6 · 13:30V. Smyk1.617111173O. Ovsiienko2.20116621LSep 6 · 12:30B. Zaika1.3611311113O. Ovsiienko3.00811651LSep 3 · 12:20O. Leonenko1.509111110113O. Ovsiienko2.5011971212LSep 3 · 11:20A. Kovalenko1.611111123O. Ovsiienko2.2049100LSep 3 · 07:50O. Mytsyk2.001011811113O. Ovsiienko1.7312711262
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