TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084426
Played Sep 6Finished
Oleksandr Leonenko
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1141176111315105
Kostiantyn Klymenko
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:19 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Leonenko to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Leonenko above · Kostiantyn Klymenko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 13-15
Set 5 · 10-5
Point 93 set 5, 10-5 — our read held Oleksandr Leonenko at 58.5%
93 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Leonenko 72–60 Kostiantyn Klymenko Kostiantyn Klymenko has won 60 of their 132 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:19What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Leonenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
72-60 in 132
Leonenko
Correct
gap of 12 in 132, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Leonenko 1472 vs Klymenko 1417
Leonenko
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Leonenko 100% vs Klymenko 60%
Leonenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Leonenko 70% vs Klymenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Leonenko +5 · Klymenko +2
Leonenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Leonenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klymenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLeonenko 1.61 / Klymenko 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Leonenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13084426
Leonenko1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 109 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it78% 60 of 77
Klymenko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 79 of 188
Down 0–1, comes back20% 20 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLeonenko8wins
AwayKlymenko2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLeonenko leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLeonenko100%6 of 6
AwayKlymenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Leonenko6Klymenko4n = 10Leonenko took 6 of 10
S2Leonenko7Klymenko3n = 10Leonenko took 7 of 10
S3Leonenko6Klymenko4n = 10Leonenko took 6 of 10
S4Leonenko5Klymenko3n = 8Leonenko took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLeonenkoKlymenkoL − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.433.5+4.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeonenkoKlymenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime432 / 833 vs 443 / 85251.9%52%432 / 833 vs 443 / 852Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LeonenkoLeonenko 1.61/Klymenko 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Leonenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Leonenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 08:20O. Leonenko—711413113K. Klymenko—118111132
WAug 17 · 10:20O. Leonenko—1211113K. Klymenko—10370
WAug 14 · 07:00O. Leonenko—11112113K. Klymenko—661191
WAug 13 · 12:20O. Leonenko—41111113K. Klymenko—118871
LAug 3 · 10:30O. Leonenko—811271K. Klymenko—11611113
WJul 30 · 08:05O. Leonenko—11411113K. Klymenko—711681
WJul 29 · 07:00O. Leonenko—11101114113K. Klymenko—91261602
WJul 27 · 09:30O. Leonenko—1111113K. Klymenko—7580
LJul 26 · 17:40O. Leonenko—51110111K. Klymenko—11512133
WJul 8 · 09:30O. Leonenko—11711113K. Klymenko—711841
O. Leonenko10
WSep 7 · 05:35O. Leonenko1.91111155113A. Martyniuk1.8089111152LSep 6 · 18:30O. Leonenko1.9139111192S. Baranskyi1.80111164113LSep 6 · 16:30V. Smyk2.631112113O. Leonenko1.4481080WSep 6 · 15:30O. Leonenko1.5011119113O. Ovsiienko2.50891171LSep 6 · 14:30B. Zaika1.4411112O. Leonenko2.63560WSep 3 · 12:20O. Leonenko1.509111110113O. Ovsiienko2.5011971212WSep 3 · 10:20M. Stetsenko1.809117101O. Leonenko1.9111811123WSep 3 · 09:20O. Leonenko1.831111143A. Kovalenko1.8387120WSep 3 · 08:20K. Klymenko2.20118111132O. Leonenko1.61711413113WSep 3 · 06:50O. Leonenko2.631111113O. Mytsyk1.449680
K. Klymenko10
LSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191LSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko2.638101181O. Ovsiienko1.4411128113LSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 15:00V. Smyk1.5711791192K. Klymenko2.25411113113WSep 6 · 14:00K. Klymenko1.57714146103S. Baranskyi2.251112121172WSep 4 · 11:05M. Stetsenko2.6368120K. Klymenko1.441111143WSep 4 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.73881111113A. Kovalenko2.0011118722LSep 4 · 09:05K. Klymenko3.4059100E. Populovskyi1.301111123LSep 3 · 08:20K. Klymenko2.20118111132O. Leonenko1.61711413113
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