TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072874
Played Sep 4Finished
Maksym Stetsenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6118111214––––
Kostiantyn Klymenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Klymenko to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Stetsenko above · Kostiantyn Klymenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 62 set 3, 12-14 — our read held Kostiantyn Klymenko at 61.9%
62 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Stetsenko 5–18 Kostiantyn Klymenko Maksym Stetsenko has won 5 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:28What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Klymenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-18 in 23
Klymenko
Correct
gap of 13 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stetsenko 1338 vs Klymenko 1417
Klymenko
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stetsenko 20% vs Klymenko 60%
Klymenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stetsenko 40% vs Klymenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stetsenko -2 · Klymenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Klymenko) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stetsenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStetsenko 2.63 / Klymenko 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Klymenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13072874
Stetsenko2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 98 of 220
Down 0–1, comes back25% 30 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 62
Klymenko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 125 of 205
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it78% 88 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStetsenko3wins
AwayKlymenko7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKlymenko leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStetsenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKlymenko75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stetsenko2Klymenko8n = 10Klymenko took 8 of 10
S2Stetsenko3Klymenko7n = 10Klymenko took 7 of 10
S3Stetsenko4Klymenko6n = 10Klymenko took 6 of 10
S4Stetsenko3Klymenko1n = 4Stetsenko took 3 of 4
S5Stetsenko1Klymenko2n = 3Klymenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricStetsenkoKlymenkoS − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.937.4−5.5per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStetsenkoKlymenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime437 / 837 vs 447 / 85852.2%52.1%437 / 837 vs 447 / 858Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlymenkoStetsenko 2.63/Klymenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Klymenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Klymenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 11:05M. Stetsenko—68120K. Klymenko—1111143
LSep 3 · 11:50M. Stetsenko—2980K. Klymenko—1111113
WSep 2 · 19:00M. Stetsenko—1111123K. Klymenko—86100
LAug 31 · 05:50M. Stetsenko—3630K. Klymenko—1111113
LAug 17 · 11:50M. Stetsenko—11930K. Klymenko—1311113
LAug 14 · 10:30M. Stetsenko—71171112K. Klymenko—118113113
LAug 6 · 09:20M. Stetsenko—158111182K. Klymenko—1311613113
WJul 23 · 06:20M. Stetsenko—61112113K. Klymenko—1161051
LJul 15 · 10:30M. Stetsenko—106110K. Klymenko—1211133
WJul 10 · 07:30M. Stetsenko—941111133K. Klymenko—111177112
M. Stetsenko10
WSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113WSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:50E. Populovskyi1.301111113M. Stetsenko3.406890LSep 6 · 07:50A. Kovalenko1.4012711113M. Stetsenko2.751011791WSep 6 · 05:50D. Patalakha1.61781171M. Stetsenko2.2011114113LSep 4 · 09:35M. Stetsenko1.73611831V. Melnykov2.0011311113LSep 4 · 08:05M. Stetsenko2.631111171A. Kovalenko1.4411813113WSep 4 · 06:35M. Stetsenko1.4411714113O. Mytsyk2.636111241LSep 4 · 05:05M. Stetsenko3.406116111E. Populovskyi1.3011911133
K. Klymenko10
LSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191LSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko2.638101181O. Ovsiienko1.4411128113LSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 15:00V. Smyk1.5711791192K. Klymenko2.25411113113WSep 6 · 14:00K. Klymenko1.57714146103S. Baranskyi2.251112121172LSep 6 · 13:00O. Leonenko1.611111613103K. Klymenko2.2047111552WSep 4 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.73881111113A. Kovalenko2.0011118722LSep 4 · 09:05K. Klymenko3.4059100E. Populovskyi1.301111123LSep 4 · 07:35K. Klymenko3.2581311472V. Melnykov1.331111811113
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