TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072867
Played Sep 4Finished
Kostiantyn Klymenko
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5119111012––––
Eduard Populovskyi
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:19 and never touched — 73.9% is still 73.9%
Graded at full timeEduard Populovskyi to win
73.9%
73.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKostiantyn Klymenko above · Eduard Populovskyi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 58 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Eduard Populovskyi at 73.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Klymenko 1–7 Eduard Populovskyi Kostiantyn Klymenko has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:19What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Populovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-7 in 8
Populovskyi
Correct
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klymenko 1395 vs Populovskyi 1422
Populovskyi
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klymenko 60% vs Populovskyi 40%
Klymenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klymenko 40% vs Populovskyi 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Klymenko -1 · Populovskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Populovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Populovskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlymenko 3.40 / Populovskyi 1.30
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Populovskyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13072867
Klymenko3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 81 of 190
Down 0–1, comes back21% 21 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Populovskyi1.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 100 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it95% 53 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it84% 75 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKlymenko1wins
AwayPopulovskyi7wins
1 of 8 to a deciderPopulovskyi leads 7–1, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlymenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPopulovskyi83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klymenko2Populovskyi6n = 8Populovskyi took 6 of 8
S2Klymenko1Populovskyi7n = 8Populovskyi took 7 of 8
S3Klymenko2Populovskyi6n = 8Populovskyi took 6 of 8
S4Klymenko2Populovskyi2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away450%
These 8 meetings
MetricKlymenkoPopulovskyiK − PBasisWins17−6in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match30.538.1−7.6per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlymenkoPopulovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime446 / 858 vs 342 / 69752%49.1%446 / 858 vs 342 / 697Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PopulovskyiKlymenko 3.40/Populovskyi 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.9%
Populovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Populovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 4 · 09:05K. Klymenko—59100E. Populovskyi—1111123
LAug 10 · 12:50K. Klymenko—12970E. Populovskyi—1411113
WAug 9 · 10:53K. Klymenko—81111113E. Populovskyi—116651
LAug 9 · 06:20K. Klymenko—51180E. Populovskyi—1113113
LAug 6 · 06:50K. Klymenko—1110661E. Populovskyi—91211113
LJun 18 · 12:20K. Klymenko—115111172E. Populovskyi—131199113
LJun 17 · 16:50K. Klymenko—11730E. Populovskyi—1311113
LJun 14 · 09:20K. Klymenko—115481E. Populovskyi—81111113
K. Klymenko10
LSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191LSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko2.638101181O. Ovsiienko1.4411128113LSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 15:00V. Smyk1.5711791192K. Klymenko2.25411113113WSep 6 · 14:00K. Klymenko1.57714146103S. Baranskyi2.251112121172LSep 6 · 13:00O. Leonenko1.611111613103K. Klymenko2.2047111552WSep 4 · 11:05M. Stetsenko2.6368120K. Klymenko1.441111143WSep 4 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.73881111113A. Kovalenko2.0011118722LSep 4 · 07:35K. Klymenko3.2581311472V. Melnykov1.331111811113
E. Populovskyi10
LSep 6 · 11:50D. Patalakha1.501111113E. Populovskyi2.508570WSep 6 · 10:50E. Populovskyi1.91811411143A. Kovalenko1.80114119122WSep 6 · 09:50E. Populovskyi1.301111113M. Stetsenko3.406890LSep 6 · 08:20E. Populovskyi2.202390O. Lipeiko1.611111113LSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113WSep 4 · 11:35V. Melnykov1.914660E. Populovskyi1.801111113WSep 4 · 10:35O. Mytsyk1.91119881E. Populovskyi1.8091111113LSep 4 · 07:05A. Kovalenko1.8391111113E. Populovskyi1.83117771WSep 4 · 05:05M. Stetsenko3.406116111E. Populovskyi1.3011911133WSep 3 · 11:00D. Khairov1.734111031E. Populovskyi2.0011612113
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