TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072949
Played Sep 4Finished
Kostiantyn Klymenko
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111311118411711
Volodymyr Melnykov
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:40 and never touched — 72.2% is still 72.2%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Melnykov to win
72.2%
72.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKostiantyn Klymenko above · Volodymyr Melnykov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 95 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Volodymyr Melnykov at 72.2%
95 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Klymenko 7–25 Volodymyr Melnykov Kostiantyn Klymenko has won 7 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:40What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Melnykov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-25 in 32
Melnykov
Correct
gap of 18 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klymenko 1417 vs Melnykov 1344
Klymenko
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klymenko 60% vs Melnykov 40%
Klymenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klymenko 40% vs Melnykov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Klymenko +3 · Melnykov -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Melnykov) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melnykov form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlymenko 3.25 / Melnykov 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Melnykov)+0.7pp
Setka Cup · #13072949
Klymenko3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 79 of 188
Down 0–1, comes back20% 20 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 56
Melnykov1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 60 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it72% 41 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlymenko1wins
AwayMelnykov9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMelnykov leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlymenko33.3%1 of 3
AwayMelnykov100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klymenko3Melnykov7n = 10Melnykov took 7 of 10
S2Klymenko2Melnykov8n = 10Melnykov took 8 of 10
S3Klymenko3Melnykov7n = 10Melnykov took 7 of 10
S4Klymenko2Melnykov3n = 5Melnykov took 3 of 5
S5Klymenko0Melnykov3n = 3Melnykov took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlymenkoMelnykovK − MBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match29.538.7−9.2per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlymenkoMelnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime443 / 852 vs 246 / 53652%45.9%443 / 852 vs 246 / 536Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelnykovKlymenko 3.25/Melnykov 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.6%
Melnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Melnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 07:35K. Klymenko—81311472V. Melnykov—1111811113
LAug 27 · 05:00K. Klymenko—81120V. Melnykov—1111143
LAug 10 · 07:50K. Klymenko—8630V. Melnykov—1111113
WJul 15 · 08:30K. Klymenko—11811113V. Melnykov—911361
LJun 25 · 11:50K. Klymenko—12661162V. Melnykov—1011113113
LJun 24 · 14:50K. Klymenko—51470V. Melnykov—1116113
LJun 23 · 21:10K. Klymenko—8680V. Melnykov—1111113
LJun 8 · 08:50K. Klymenko—11911762V. Melnykov—411711113
LMay 10 · 19:50K. Klymenko—712571V. Melnykov—111011113
LApr 13 · 06:50K. Klymenko—6300V. Melnykov—1111113
K. Klymenko10
LSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191LSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko2.638101181O. Ovsiienko1.4411128113LSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 15:00V. Smyk1.5711791192K. Klymenko2.25411113113WSep 6 · 14:00K. Klymenko1.57714146103S. Baranskyi2.251112121172LSep 6 · 13:00O. Leonenko1.611111613103K. Klymenko2.2047111552WSep 4 · 11:05M. Stetsenko2.6368120K. Klymenko1.441111143WSep 4 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.73881111113A. Kovalenko2.0011118722LSep 4 · 09:05K. Klymenko3.4059100E. Populovskyi1.301111123
V. Melnykov10
LSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 11:35V. Melnykov1.914660E. Populovskyi1.801111113WSep 4 · 09:35M. Stetsenko1.73611831V. Melnykov2.0011311113LSep 4 · 08:35V. Melnykov2.25111410482O. Mytsyk1.579121211113LSep 4 · 06:05V. Melnykov2.10961111102A. Kovalenko1.67111129123LAug 27 · 11:30O. Ovsiienko1.731111113V. Melnykov2.006990LAug 27 · 10:00V. Melnykov1.911011311102V. Kondratenko1.80128119123WAug 27 · 08:00O. Mytsyk1.61118121342V. Melnykov2.208111015113WAug 27 · 06:00V. Mukhin3.50761151V. Melnykov1.2811116113WAug 27 · 05:00K. Klymenko3.2581120V. Melnykov1.331111143
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