TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089398
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
211121071113111210
Volodymyr Melnykov
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:22 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Mytsyk above · Volodymyr Melnykov below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 99 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 56.6%
99 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mytsyk 41–29 Volodymyr Melnykov Volodymyr Melnykov has won 29 of their 70 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:22What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Mytsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-29 in 70
Mytsyk
Correct
gap of 12 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mytsyk 1310 vs Melnykov 1344
Melnykov
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mytsyk 20% vs Melnykov 40%
Melnykov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mytsyk 30% vs Melnykov 50%
Melnykov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mytsyk -2 · Melnykov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Mytsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mytsyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMytsyk 1.67 / Melnykov 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Mytsyk)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13089398
Mytsyk1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite54% won 168 of 311
Up 2–0, closes it89% 83 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it78% 127 of 163
Melnykov2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 61 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back24% 24 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back14% 8 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMytsyk7wins
AwayMelnykov3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderMytsyk leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMytsyk85.7%6 of 7
AwayMelnykov66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mytsyk7Melnykov3n = 10Mytsyk took 7 of 10
S2Mytsyk5Melnykov5n = 10split evenly
S3Mytsyk6Melnykov4n = 10Mytsyk took 6 of 10
S4Mytsyk5Melnykov4n = 9Mytsyk took 5 of 9
S5Mytsyk4Melnykov3n = 7Mytsyk took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMytsykMelnykovMytsyk − MelnykovBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.842.6+3.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMytsykMelnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime532 / 1073 vs 246 / 53649.6%45.9%532 / 1073 vs 246 / 536Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykMytsyk 1.67/Melnykov 2.10
Hit
What we said
56.6%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 31 · 07:00O. Mytsyk—111110113V. Melnykov—861261
LJul 27 · 07:50O. Mytsyk—1111101072V. Melnykov—691212113
WJul 26 · 17:00O. Mytsyk—1181315113V. Melnykov—511151392
WJul 19 · 15:00O. Mytsyk—911118113V. Melnykov—11891182
WJul 6 · 10:50O. Mytsyk—1110148113V. Melnykov—912121162
WJul 5 · 14:30O. Mytsyk—1111113V. Melnykov—6790
LJul 2 · 06:50O. Mytsyk—79111142V. Melnykov—111177113
WJun 29 · 10:50O. Mytsyk—11611113V. Melnykov—811841
LJun 28 · 15:00O. Mytsyk—83111192V. Melnykov—111189113
WJun 23 · 22:10O. Mytsyk—111178113V. Melnykov—96111172
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 7 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.5012119792O. Mytsyk1.501061111113LSep 4 · 12:05A. Kovalenko1.5711611113O. Mytsyk2.25511541LSep 4 · 10:35O. Mytsyk1.91119881E. Populovskyi1.8091111113WSep 4 · 08:35V. Melnykov2.25111410482O. Mytsyk1.579121211113LSep 4 · 06:35M. Stetsenko1.4411714113O. Mytsyk2.636111241LSep 4 · 05:35K. Klymenko1.611111113O. Mytsyk2.209870WSep 3 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.251111913113A. Kovalenko1.57136111192LSep 3 · 10:50K. Klymenko1.6751117113O. Mytsyk2.101121581LSep 3 · 08:50M. Stetsenko1.5011119113O. Mytsyk2.50951151WSep 3 · 07:50O. Mytsyk2.001011811113O. Ovsiienko1.7312711262
V. Melnykov10
WSep 7 · 08:50V. Korniichuk2.1081050V. Melnykov1.671112113LSep 7 · 07:50V. Melnykov1.83116651M. Stetsenko1.8341111113LSep 4 · 11:35V. Melnykov1.914660E. Populovskyi1.801111113WSep 4 · 09:35M. Stetsenko1.73611831V. Melnykov2.0011311113LSep 4 · 08:35V. Melnykov2.25111410482O. Mytsyk1.579121211113WSep 4 · 07:35K. Klymenko3.2581311472V. Melnykov1.331111811113LSep 4 · 06:05V. Melnykov2.10961111102A. Kovalenko1.67111129123LAug 27 · 11:30O. Ovsiienko1.731111113V. Melnykov2.006990LAug 27 · 10:00V. Melnykov1.911011311102V. Kondratenko1.80128119123WAug 27 · 08:00O. Mytsyk1.61118121342V. Melnykov2.208111015113
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