TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089038
Played Sep 7Finished
Volodymyr Melnykov
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114611611511––
Maksym Stetsenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Stetsenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Melnykov above · Maksym Stetsenko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 65 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Maksym Stetsenko at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Melnykov 7–8 Maksym Stetsenko Volodymyr Melnykov has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:44What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Stetsenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-8 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melnykov 1322 vs Stetsenko 1377
Stetsenko
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnykov 40% vs Stetsenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnykov 40% vs Stetsenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnykov -2 · Stetsenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stetsenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stetsenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnykov 1.83 / Stetsenko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stetsenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13089038
Melnykov1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Stetsenko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelnykov4wins
AwayStetsenko6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStetsenko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnykov40%2 of 5
AwayStetsenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnykov5Stetsenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Melnykov3Stetsenko7n = 10Stetsenko took 7 of 10
S3Melnykov5Stetsenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Melnykov5Stetsenko3n = 8Melnykov took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelnykovStetsenkoM − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.437.5−2.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnykovStetsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime246 / 538 vs 439 / 83945.7%52.3%246 / 538 vs 439 / 839Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StetsenkoMelnykov 1.83/Stetsenko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Stetsenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stetsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 07:50V. Melnykov—116651M. Stetsenko—41111113
WSep 4 · 09:35V. Melnykov—11311113M. Stetsenko—611831
LAug 26 · 16:00V. Melnykov—151111892M. Stetsenko—176511113
WAug 24 · 12:50V. Melnykov—11313113M. Stetsenko—6111161
WAug 7 · 07:30V. Melnykov—11111113M. Stetsenko—114681
LAug 3 · 07:20V. Melnykov—69110M. Stetsenko—1111133
LJul 31 · 11:00V. Melnykov—9580M. Stetsenko—1111113
LJul 27 · 11:20V. Melnykov—111511102M. Stetsenko—811119123
LJul 26 · 14:00V. Melnykov—1311771M. Stetsenko—111311113
WJul 19 · 18:00V. Melnykov—71111113M. Stetsenko—118851
V. Melnykov10
WSep 7 · 08:50V. Korniichuk2.1081050V. Melnykov1.671112113LSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 11:35V. Melnykov1.914660E. Populovskyi1.801111113WSep 4 · 09:35M. Stetsenko1.73611831V. Melnykov2.0011311113LSep 4 · 08:35V. Melnykov2.25111410482O. Mytsyk1.579121211113WSep 4 · 07:35K. Klymenko3.2581311472V. Melnykov1.331111811113LSep 4 · 06:05V. Melnykov2.10961111102A. Kovalenko1.67111129123LAug 27 · 11:30O. Ovsiienko1.731111113V. Melnykov2.006990LAug 27 · 10:00V. Melnykov1.911011311102V. Kondratenko1.80128119123WAug 27 · 08:00O. Mytsyk1.61118121342V. Melnykov2.208111015113
M. Stetsenko10
WSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113WSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:50E. Populovskyi1.301111113M. Stetsenko3.406890LSep 6 · 07:50A. Kovalenko1.4012711113M. Stetsenko2.751011791WSep 6 · 05:50D. Patalakha1.61781171M. Stetsenko2.2011114113LSep 4 · 11:05M. Stetsenko2.6368120K. Klymenko1.441111143LSep 4 · 09:35M. Stetsenko1.73611831V. Melnykov2.0011311113LSep 4 · 08:05M. Stetsenko2.631111171A. Kovalenko1.4411813113WSep 4 · 06:35M. Stetsenko1.4411714113O. Mytsyk2.636111241
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.