TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088911
Played Sep 7Finished
Vitalii Korniichuk
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111012511––––
Volodymyr Melnykov
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Melnykov to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Korniichuk above · Volodymyr Melnykov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 57 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Volodymyr Melnykov at 55.3%
57 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Korniichuk 1–4 Volodymyr Melnykov Vitalii Korniichuk has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:59What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Melnykov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Melnykov
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korniichuk 1333 vs Melnykov 1322
Korniichuk
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korniichuk 80% vs Melnykov 20%
Korniichuk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korniichuk 60% vs Melnykov 30%
Korniichuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korniichuk +1 · Melnykov -3
Melnykov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Melnykov) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melnykov form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorniichuk 2.10 / Melnykov 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Melnykov)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13088911
Korniichuk2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog39% won 28 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back24% 9 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Melnykov1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 60 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it72% 41 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKorniichuk1wins
AwayMelnykov4wins
3 of 5 to a deciderMelnykov leads 4–1, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorniichukn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMelnykov75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korniichuk1Melnykov4n = 5Melnykov took 4 of 5
S2Korniichuk1Melnykov4n = 5Melnykov took 4 of 5
S3Korniichuk4Melnykov1n = 5Korniichuk took 4 of 5
S4Korniichuk2Melnykov3n = 5Melnykov took 3 of 5
S5Korniichuk1Melnykov2n = 3Melnykov took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKorniichukMelnykovK − MBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match39.645.4−5.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorniichukMelnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 501 vs 246 / 53855.3%45.7%277 / 501 vs 246 / 538Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelnykovKorniichuk 2.10/Melnykov 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.4%
Melnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Melnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJun 8 · 05:50V. Korniichuk—111011542V. Melnykov—912611113
WJun 1 · 07:20V. Korniichuk—1141112113V. Melnykov—131171092
LMay 28 · 07:50V. Korniichuk—71171162V. Melnykov—118117113
LMay 14 · 06:50V. Korniichuk—6811101V. Melnykov—11118123
LMay 11 · 11:20V. Korniichuk—5511101V. Melnykov—11114123
V. Korniichuk10
WSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113WSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113WSep 3 · 10:05V. Korniichuk1.20111011113S. Osipov4.33712541WSep 3 · 09:05V. Korniichuk1.281111113M. Khalenko3.509970LSep 3 · 07:35V. Korniichuk1.3671111882V. Stukalov3.00119611113WSep 3 · 05:35V. Korniichuk1.611251011123S. Semenets2.201011123102LSep 1 · 11:35V. Korniichuk1.61111411682D. Khavanskyi2.20716911113WSep 1 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.63711111062V. Korniichuk1.44117912113LSep 1 · 08:35V. Korniichuk1.5311791182S. Semenets2.38911119113
V. Melnykov10
LSep 7 · 07:50V. Melnykov1.83116651M. Stetsenko1.8341111113LSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 11:35V. Melnykov1.914660E. Populovskyi1.801111113WSep 4 · 09:35M. Stetsenko1.73611831V. Melnykov2.0011311113LSep 4 · 08:35V. Melnykov2.25111410482O. Mytsyk1.579121211113WSep 4 · 07:35K. Klymenko3.2581311472V. Melnykov1.331111811113LSep 4 · 06:05V. Melnykov2.10961111102A. Kovalenko1.67111129123LAug 27 · 11:30O. Ovsiienko1.731111113V. Melnykov2.006990LAug 27 · 10:00V. Melnykov1.911011311102V. Kondratenko1.80128119123WAug 27 · 08:00O. Mytsyk1.61118121342V. Melnykov2.208111015113
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