TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066810
Played Sep 3Finished
Vitalii Korniichuk
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711119116811811
Vladyslav Stukalov
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 69.2% is still 69.2%
Graded at full timeVitalii Korniichuk to win
69.2%
69.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVitalii Korniichuk above · Vladyslav Stukalov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 93 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Vitalii Korniichuk at 69.2%
93 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Korniichuk 29–22 Vladyslav Stukalov Vladyslav Stukalov has won 22 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:09What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Korniichuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-22 in 51
Korniichuk
Wrong
gap of 7 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korniichuk 1338 vs Stukalov 1264
Korniichuk
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korniichuk 60% vs Stukalov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korniichuk 40% vs Stukalov 60%
Stukalov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korniichuk +1 · Stukalov +3
Stukalov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Korniichuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stukalov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorniichuk 1.36 / Stukalov 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Korniichuk)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13066810
Korniichuk1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite69% won 74 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it98% 43 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it84% 57 of 68
Stukalov3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 102 of 220
Down 0–1, comes back21% 25 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorniichuk8wins
AwayStukalov2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKorniichuk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorniichuk87.5%7 of 8
AwayStukalovn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korniichuk8Stukalov2n = 10Korniichuk took 8 of 10
S2Korniichuk9Stukalov1n = 10Korniichuk took 9 of 10
S3Korniichuk8Stukalov2n = 10Korniichuk took 8 of 10
S4Korniichuk3Stukalov2n = 5Korniichuk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorniichukStukalovK − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.728.7+11.0per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorniichukStukalovBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 499 vs 408 / 81155.3%50.3%276 / 499 vs 408 / 811Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorniichukKorniichuk 1.36/Stukalov 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.2%
Korniichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stukalov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 07:35V. Korniichuk—71111882V. Stukalov—119611113
WSep 1 · 07:35V. Korniichuk—11118113V. Stukalov—661141
LAug 24 · 11:05V. Korniichuk—111016872V. Stukalov—7121411113
WJun 10 · 07:00V. Korniichuk—1111113V. Stukalov—0430
WMay 22 · 09:00V. Korniichuk—1111113V. Stukalov—3250
WMay 19 · 11:35V. Korniichuk—1111113V. Stukalov—5530
WApr 27 · 09:35V. Korniichuk—121315113V. Stukalov—14111361
WApr 24 · 09:00V. Korniichuk—1111113V. Stukalov—9970
WApr 22 · 09:00V. Korniichuk—1311113V. Stukalov—11290
WApr 20 · 09:00V. Korniichuk—11118113V. Stukalov—891181
V. Korniichuk10
WSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113WSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113WSep 3 · 10:05V. Korniichuk1.20111011113S. Osipov4.33712541WSep 3 · 09:05V. Korniichuk1.281111113M. Khalenko3.509970WSep 3 · 05:35V. Korniichuk1.611251011123S. Semenets2.201011123102LSep 1 · 11:35V. Korniichuk1.61111411682D. Khavanskyi2.20716911113WSep 1 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.63711111062V. Korniichuk1.44117912113LSep 1 · 08:35V. Korniichuk1.5311791182S. Semenets2.38911119113WSep 1 · 07:35V. Stukalov3.00661141V. Korniichuk1.3611118113
V. Stukalov10
WSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.361111113V. Stukalov3.009850LSep 5 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.8312711692V. Kucheriavyi1.831011511113WSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130LSep 5 · 07:35V. Stukalov1.53117991O. Stopin2.3841111113LSep 5 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.001012471V. Varchenko1.73121011113LSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.0011911492M. Khalenko1.73111911113LSep 3 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.611111113V. Stukalov2.206740WSep 3 · 08:35V. Stukalov1.8311512113S. Semenets1.839111061LSep 1 · 07:35V. Stukalov3.00661141V. Korniichuk1.3611118113
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