TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089108
Played Sep 7Finished
Vitalii Korniichuk
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191012114117––
Serhii Semenets
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeVitalii Korniichuk to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Korniichuk above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 75 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Vitalii Korniichuk at 58.1%
75 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Korniichuk 6–3 Serhii Semenets Serhii Semenets has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:01What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Korniichuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Korniichuk
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korniichuk 1333 vs Semenets 1223
Korniichuk
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korniichuk 60% vs Semenets 40%
Korniichuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korniichuk 60% vs Semenets 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korniichuk -1 · Semenets -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Korniichuk) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorniichuk 1.53 / Semenets 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Korniichuk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13089108
Korniichuk1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite68% won 73 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it98% 42 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it84% 56 of 67
Semenets2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 47 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back21% 16 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKorniichuk6wins
AwaySemenets3wins
5 of 9 to a deciderKorniichuk leads 6–3, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorniichuk83.3%5 of 6
AwaySemenets66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korniichuk6Semenets3n = 9Korniichuk took 6 of 9
S2Korniichuk2Semenets7n = 9Semenets took 7 of 9
S3Korniichuk6Semenets3n = 9Korniichuk took 6 of 9
S4Korniichuk4Semenets4n = 8split evenly
S5Korniichuk4Semenets1n = 5Korniichuk took 4 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home444%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricKorniichukSemenetsK − SBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match42.241.1+1.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorniichukSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 501 vs 416 / 82855.3%50.2%277 / 501 vs 416 / 828Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorniichukKorniichuk 1.53/Semenets 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Korniichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Korniichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk—111011113S. Semenets—912471
WSep 3 · 05:35V. Korniichuk—1251011123S. Semenets—1011123102
LSep 1 · 08:35V. Korniichuk—11791182S. Semenets—911119113
LAug 24 · 06:35V. Korniichuk—691181S. Semenets—11118113
WMay 19 · 09:05V. Korniichuk—1111115113S. Semenets—91321192
WApr 27 · 11:05V. Korniichuk—1111113S. Semenets—9970
WApr 24 · 10:30V. Korniichuk—611119113S. Semenets—11561192
WApr 22 · 10:30V. Korniichuk—116712113S. Semenets—911111072
LApr 20 · 10:30V. Korniichuk—4101151S. Semenets—11127113
V. Korniichuk10
LSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113WSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113WSep 3 · 10:05V. Korniichuk1.20111011113S. Osipov4.33712541WSep 3 · 09:05V. Korniichuk1.281111113M. Khalenko3.509970LSep 3 · 07:35V. Korniichuk1.3671111882V. Stukalov3.00119611113WSep 3 · 05:35V. Korniichuk1.611251011123S. Semenets2.201011123102LSep 1 · 11:35V. Korniichuk1.61111411682D. Khavanskyi2.20716911113WSep 1 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.63711111062V. Korniichuk1.44117912113LSep 1 · 08:35V. Korniichuk1.5311791182S. Semenets2.38911119113WSep 1 · 07:35V. Stukalov3.00661141V. Korniichuk1.3611118113
S. Semenets10
LSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112WSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143LSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130WSep 5 · 07:05V. Kucheriavyi1.831111361S. Semenets1.8313811113WSep 5 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.4411126762S. Semenets2.639101111113LSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121LSep 3 · 05:35V. Korniichuk1.611251011123S. Semenets2.201011123102WSep 1 · 08:35V. Korniichuk1.5311791182S. Semenets2.38911119113
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