TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073443
Played Sep 4Finished
Yevhenii Korotin
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 1
Set by set
1012––––––––
Serhii Semenets
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Semenets to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Korotin above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 10-12
Point 22 set 1, 10-12 — our read held Serhii Semenets at 54.0%
22 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Korotin 4–9 Serhii Semenets Yevhenii Korotin has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Semenets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-9 in 13
Semenets
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korotin 1263 vs Semenets 1255
Korotin
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korotin 40% vs Semenets 60%
Semenets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korotin 50% vs Semenets 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korotin -1 · Semenets -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Semenets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korotin form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorotin 1.91 / Semenets 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Semenets)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13073443
Korotin1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 27 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Semenets1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 98 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it93% 52 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it75% 76 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorotin2wins
AwaySemenets8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSemenets leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorotin40%2 of 5
AwaySemenets100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korotin5Semenets5n = 10split evenly
S2Korotin3Semenets7n = 10Semenets took 7 of 10
S3Korotin4Semenets6n = 10Semenets took 6 of 10
S4Korotin2Semenets7n = 9Semenets took 7 of 9
S5Korotin1Semenets2n = 3Semenets took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorotinSemenetsK − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.942.7−5.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorotinSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime96 / 196 vs 415 / 82449%50.4%96 / 196 vs 415 / 824Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemenetsKorotin 1.91/Semenets 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Semenets · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–1
Semenets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 12:05Y. Korotin—131111113S. Semenets—1191351
WAug 5 · 12:30Y. Korotin—119115113S. Semenets—71161192
LApr 28 · 14:40Y. Korotin—11915962S. Semenets—9111311113
LApr 14 · 11:30Y. Korotin—51281152S. Semenets—1110117113
LSep 23 · 13:10Y. Korotin—9111151S. Semenets—11139113
LJul 1 · 14:10Y. Korotin—831161S. Semenets—11116113
LJun 17 · 14:10Y. Korotin—112891S. Semenets—81111103
LJun 10 · 12:10Y. Korotin—1011891S. Semenets—12611113
LMay 27 · 17:10Y. Korotin—6920S. Semenets—1111113
LMay 20 · 15:10Y. Korotin—1291051S. Semenets—101112113
Y. Korotin10
WSep 4 · 18:00V. Mukhin2.6311119342Y. Korotin1.44981111113LSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113WSep 4 · 14:30Y. Korotin3.50911811113S. Yakimenko1.2811911772WSep 4 · 12:30Y. Korotin1.831111113M. Khalenko1.835690LAug 30 · 16:40Y. Korotin1.917390V. Stukalov1.801111113LAug 30 · 15:10Y. Korotin2.7571080O. Mytsyk1.401112113WAug 30 · 13:40Y. Korotin1.73119118113M. Khalenko2.0091141162LAug 30 · 12:10Y. Korotin2.251110111242S. Baranskyi1.57712314113LAug 30 · 10:40Y. Korotin2.501161181K. Klymenko1.5091113113WAug 23 · 12:05Y. Korotin2.00131111113S. Semenets1.731191351
S. Semenets10
LSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112WSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143LSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130WSep 5 · 07:05V. Kucheriavyi1.831111361S. Semenets1.8313811113WSep 5 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.4411126762S. Semenets2.639101111113LSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113LSep 4 · 15:00V. Mukhin1.401111912133S. Semenets2.75671114112LAug 23 · 12:05Y. Korotin2.00131111113S. Semenets1.731191351
Upcoming Matches
Y. Korotin
Nothing scheduled
S. Semenets
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