TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13044519
Played Aug 30Finished
Yevhenii Korotin
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119911114811116
Mykhailo Khalenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Korotin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Korotin above · Mykhailo Khalenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 91 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Yevhenii Korotin at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Korotin 9–4 Mykhailo Khalenko Mykhailo Khalenko has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:16What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Korotin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Korotin
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korotin 1249 vs Khalenko 1296
Khalenko
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korotin 40% vs Khalenko 60%
Khalenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korotin 40% vs Khalenko 60%
Khalenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korotin -2 · Khalenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Korotin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korotin form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorotin 1.73 / Khalenko 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Korotin)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13044519
Korotin1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 17 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Khalenko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 67 of 139
Down 0–1, comes back31% 22 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorotin8wins
AwayKhalenko2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKorotin leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorotin80%4 of 5
AwayKhalenko20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korotin5Khalenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Korotin6Khalenko4n = 10Korotin took 6 of 10
S3Korotin6Khalenko4n = 10Korotin took 6 of 10
S4Korotin4Khalenko4n = 8split evenly
S5Korotin5Khalenko1n = 6Korotin took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorotinKhalenkoKorotin − KhalenkoBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.839.5+2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorotinKhalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 198 vs 180 / 36350%49.6%99 / 198 vs 180 / 363Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorotinKorotin 1.73/Khalenko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Korotin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Korotin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 13:40Y. Korotin—119118113M. Khalenko—91141162
WApr 15 · 08:35Y. Korotin—11116113M. Khalenko—851171
WApr 14 · 09:30Y. Korotin—751111113M. Khalenko—11118952
WDec 7 · 13:40Y. Korotin—811211113M. Khalenko—111110972
WAug 26 · 13:10Y. Korotin—1111810113M. Khalenko—86111272
LAug 12 · 12:40Y. Korotin—10980M. Khalenko—1211113
WJul 29 · 12:10Y. Korotin—1111113M. Khalenko—9640
WJul 22 · 17:40Y. Korotin—315139113M. Khalenko—1113111182
WJul 1 · 17:10Y. Korotin—41114113M. Khalenko—1161241
LJun 10 · 17:40Y. Korotin—11114672M. Khalenko—951111113
Y. Korotin10
WSep 4 · 18:00V. Mukhin2.6311119342Y. Korotin1.44981111113LSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121LSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113WSep 4 · 14:30Y. Korotin3.50911811113S. Yakimenko1.2811911772WSep 4 · 12:30Y. Korotin1.831111113M. Khalenko1.835690LAug 30 · 16:40Y. Korotin1.917390V. Stukalov1.801111113LAug 30 · 15:10Y. Korotin2.7571080O. Mytsyk1.401112113LAug 30 · 12:10Y. Korotin2.251110111242S. Baranskyi1.57712314113LAug 30 · 10:40Y. Korotin2.501161181K. Klymenko1.5091113113WAug 23 · 12:05Y. Korotin2.00131111113S. Semenets1.731191351
M. Khalenko10
WSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 15:30S. Yakimenko1.8311611552M. Khalenko1.83711911113LSep 4 · 13:30V. Mukhin2.3811147113M. Khalenko1.535121151LSep 4 · 12:30Y. Korotin1.831111113M. Khalenko1.835690WSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.0011911492M. Khalenko1.73111911113WSep 3 · 10:35S. Semenets2.20512761M. Khalenko1.61111011113LSep 3 · 09:05V. Korniichuk1.281111113M. Khalenko3.509970WSep 3 · 07:05S. Osipov2.7511811842M. Khalenko1.40811811113WSep 3 · 05:05D. Khavanskyi1.446260M. Khalenko2.631111113
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