TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073217
Played Sep 4Finished
Stefan Yakimenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117611119511511
Mykhailo Khalenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Khalenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStefan Yakimenko above · Mykhailo Khalenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 87 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Mykhailo Khalenko at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Stefan Yakimenko 0–2 Mykhailo Khalenko Stefan Yakimenko has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:19What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Khalenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Yakimenko 1311 vs Khalenko 1264
Yakimenko
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yakimenko 20% vs Khalenko 40%
Khalenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yakimenko 20% vs Khalenko 40%
Khalenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yakimenko -4 · Khalenko -2
Yakimenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khalenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khalenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYakimenko 1.83 / Khalenko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Khalenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13073217
Yakimenko1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Khalenko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeYakimenko0wins
AwayKhalenko2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderKhalenko leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricYakimenkoKhalenkoY − KBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match35.539.0−3.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYakimenkoKhalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime385 / 787 vs 185 / 36948.9%50.1%385 / 787 vs 185 / 369Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhalenkoYakimenko 1.83/Khalenko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Khalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Khalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LApr 5 · 09:20S. Yakimenko—911118102M. Khalenko—115511123
LFeb 8 · 11:50S. Yakimenko—81040M. Khalenko—1112113
S. Yakimenko10
WSep 4 · 18:30S. Yakimenko1.671111113D. Khavanskyi2.105780WSep 4 · 16:30V. Mukhin2.6386100S. Yakimenko1.441111123LSep 4 · 14:30Y. Korotin3.50911811113S. Yakimenko1.2811911772LSep 4 · 13:00S. Yakimenko1.73711511122S. Semenets2.00115119143LSep 1 · 12:05S. Yakimenko1.737490S. Semenets2.001111113LSep 1 · 10:05V. Stukalov2.631111113S. Yakimenko1.448690WSep 1 · 08:05O. Miklukha3.001171112102S. Yakimenko1.36511614123LSep 1 · 07:05S. Yakimenko1.50115991D. Khavanskyi2.5041111113WSep 1 · 06:05V. Korniichuk2.75117127102S. Yakimenko1.408111011123LJul 16 · 12:20S. Yakimenko2.009420A. Kurtenko1.731111113
M. Khalenko10
WSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931LSep 4 · 13:30V. Mukhin2.3811147113M. Khalenko1.535121151LSep 4 · 12:30Y. Korotin1.831111113M. Khalenko1.835690WSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.0011911492M. Khalenko1.73111911113WSep 3 · 10:35S. Semenets2.20512761M. Khalenko1.61111011113LSep 3 · 09:05V. Korniichuk1.281111113M. Khalenko3.509970WSep 3 · 07:05S. Osipov2.7511811842M. Khalenko1.40811811113WSep 3 · 05:05D. Khavanskyi1.446260M. Khalenko2.631111113LAug 31 · 11:50K. Klymenko1.441111113M. Khalenko2.636630
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