TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073056
Played Sep 4Finished
Stefan Yakimenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111155111191214
Serhii Semenets
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeStefan Yakimenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingStefan Yakimenko above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 96 set 5, 12-14 — our read held Stefan Yakimenko at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Stefan Yakimenko 44–57 Serhii Semenets Stefan Yakimenko has won 44 of their 101 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:09What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Yakimenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-57 in 101
Semenets
Correct
gap of 13 in 101, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yakimenko 1337 vs Semenets 1240
Yakimenko
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yakimenko 40% vs Semenets 20%
Yakimenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yakimenko 20% vs Semenets 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Yakimenko -2 · Semenets +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Yakimenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Semenets form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYakimenko 1.73 / Semenets 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Yakimenko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13073056
Yakimenko1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 55 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Semenets2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 43 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYakimenko5wins
AwaySemenets5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYakimenko66.7%4 of 6
AwaySemenets75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yakimenko6Semenets4n = 10Yakimenko took 6 of 10
S2Yakimenko4Semenets6n = 10Semenets took 6 of 10
S3Yakimenko8Semenets2n = 10Yakimenko took 8 of 10
S4Yakimenko1Semenets6n = 7Semenets took 6 of 7
S5Yakimenko2Semenets2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricYakimenkoSemenetsY − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.637.8+0.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYakimenkoSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime391 / 795 vs 414 / 82249.2%50.4%391 / 795 vs 414 / 822Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YakimenkoYakimenko 1.73/Semenets 2.00
Miss
What we said
54%
Yakimenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Semenets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 12 · 19:50S. Yakimenko—1111113S. Semenets—7790
WApr 9 · 07:20S. Yakimenko—912117113S. Semenets—111081142
LApr 8 · 17:20S. Yakimenko—911111172S. Semenets—118813113
WFeb 23 · 13:20S. Yakimenko—11911113S. Semenets—411691
WFeb 15 · 20:50S. Yakimenko—116114113S. Semenets—01161132
LFeb 4 · 18:50S. Yakimenko—11611732S. Semenets—911711113
LJan 28 · 18:50S. Yakimenko—61050S. Semenets—1112113
WJan 26 · 12:20S. Yakimenko—1311113S. Semenets—11830
LJan 25 · 20:50S. Yakimenko—12141141S. Semenets—14169113
LJan 21 · 19:50S. Yakimenko—11310101S. Semenets—91112123
S. Yakimenko10
WSep 4 · 18:30S. Yakimenko1.671111113D. Khavanskyi2.105780WSep 4 · 16:30V. Mukhin2.6386100S. Yakimenko1.441111123LSep 4 · 15:30S. Yakimenko1.8311611552M. Khalenko1.83711911113LSep 4 · 14:30Y. Korotin3.50911811113S. Yakimenko1.2811911772LSep 1 · 12:05S. Yakimenko1.737490S. Semenets2.001111113LSep 1 · 10:05V. Stukalov2.631111113S. Yakimenko1.448690WSep 1 · 08:05O. Miklukha3.001171112102S. Yakimenko1.36511614123LSep 1 · 07:05S. Yakimenko1.50115991D. Khavanskyi2.5041111113WSep 1 · 06:05V. Korniichuk2.75117127102S. Yakimenko1.408111011123LJul 16 · 12:20S. Yakimenko2.009420A. Kurtenko1.731111113
S. Semenets10
LSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112WSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143LSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130WSep 5 · 07:05V. Kucheriavyi1.831111361S. Semenets1.8313811113WSep 5 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.4411126762S. Semenets2.639101111113LSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121WSep 1 · 12:05S. Yakimenko1.737490S. Semenets2.001111113
Upcoming Matches
S. Yakimenko
Nothing scheduled
S. Semenets
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