TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073033
Played Sep 4Finished
Stefan Yakimenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115117118––––
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:58 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeStefan Yakimenko to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStefan Yakimenko above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 53 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Stefan Yakimenko at 56.2%
53 points played in total.
H2H Stefan Yakimenko 14–12 Denys Khavanskyi Denys Khavanskyi has won 12 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:58What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Yakimenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-12 in 26
Yakimenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yakimenko 1312 vs Khavanskyi 1262
Yakimenko
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yakimenko 20% vs Khavanskyi 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yakimenko 30% vs Khavanskyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Yakimenko +1 · Khavanskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Yakimenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khavanskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYakimenko 1.67 / Khavanskyi 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Yakimenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13073033
Yakimenko1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 55 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Khavanskyi2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 20 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back20% 5 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYakimenko5wins
AwayKhavanskyi5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYakimenko75%3 of 4
AwayKhavanskyi66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yakimenko4Khavanskyi6n = 10Khavanskyi took 6 of 10
S2Yakimenko7Khavanskyi3n = 10Yakimenko took 7 of 10
S3Yakimenko7Khavanskyi3n = 10Yakimenko took 7 of 10
S4Yakimenko3Khavanskyi3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricYakimenkoKhavanskyiY − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.133.7+1.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYakimenkoKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime386 / 789 vs 152 / 30248.9%50.3%386 / 789 vs 152 / 302Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.335.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YakimenkoYakimenko 1.67/Khavanskyi 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Yakimenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Yakimenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 07:05S. Yakimenko—115991D. Khavanskyi—41111113
WMay 10 · 18:20S. Yakimenko—1111113D. Khavanskyi—4750
WMay 6 · 21:20S. Yakimenko—81111113D. Khavanskyi—116781
WMay 3 · 19:20S. Yakimenko—81111113D. Khavanskyi—113851
LApr 29 · 21:20S. Yakimenko—76121132D. Khavanskyi—1111109113
WApr 22 · 19:20S. Yakimenko—1111113D. Khavanskyi—9540
WApr 20 · 05:50S. Yakimenko—1213113D. Khavanskyi—101190
LApr 15 · 16:20S. Yakimenko—911741D. Khavanskyi—11911113
LApr 13 · 11:20S. Yakimenko—9770D. Khavanskyi—1111113
LApr 8 · 20:50S. Yakimenko—41112852D. Khavanskyi—1171011113
S. Yakimenko10
WSep 4 · 16:30V. Mukhin2.6386100S. Yakimenko1.441111123LSep 4 · 15:30S. Yakimenko1.8311611552M. Khalenko1.83711911113LSep 4 · 14:30Y. Korotin3.50911811113S. Yakimenko1.2811911772LSep 4 · 13:00S. Yakimenko1.73711511122S. Semenets2.00115119143LSep 1 · 12:05S. Yakimenko1.737490S. Semenets2.001111113LSep 1 · 10:05V. Stukalov2.631111113S. Yakimenko1.448690WSep 1 · 08:05O. Miklukha3.001171112102S. Yakimenko1.36511614123LSep 1 · 07:05S. Yakimenko1.50115991D. Khavanskyi2.5041111113WSep 1 · 06:05V. Korniichuk2.75117127102S. Yakimenko1.408111011123LJul 16 · 12:20S. Yakimenko2.009420A. Kurtenko1.731111113
D. Khavanskyi10
LSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113LSep 4 · 14:00S. Semenets2.259111111113D. Khavanskyi1.5711135882LSep 4 · 12:00V. Mukhin1.9151111113D. Khavanskyi1.80117591LSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113WSep 3 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.611111113V. Stukalov2.206740LSep 3 · 08:05D. Khavanskyi1.25126531S. Osipov3.75101111113WSep 3 · 06:35D. Khavanskyi1.671111113S. Semenets2.109980LSep 3 · 05:05D. Khavanskyi1.446260M. Khalenko2.631111113WSep 1 · 07:05S. Yakimenko1.50115991D. Khavanskyi2.5041111113
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