TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067450
Played Sep 3Finished
Denys Khavanskyi
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119118––––
Serhii Semenets
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:59 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeDenys Khavanskyi to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenys Khavanskyi above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 59 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Denys Khavanskyi at 56.2%
59 points played in total.
H2H Denys Khavanskyi 22–16 Serhii Semenets Serhii Semenets has won 16 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:59What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Khavanskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-16 in 38
Khavanskyi
Correct
gap of 6 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khavanskyi 1241 vs Semenets 1255
Semenets
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khavanskyi 80% vs Semenets 40%
Khavanskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khavanskyi 80% vs Semenets 40%
Khavanskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khavanskyi -1 · Semenets -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khavanskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khavanskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhavanskyi 1.67 / Semenets 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Khavanskyi)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13067450
Khavanskyi1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite39% won 21 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it67% 18 of 27
Semenets2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 45 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhavanskyi6wins
AwaySemenets4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKhavanskyi leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhavanskyi50%3 of 6
AwaySemenets25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khavanskyi6Semenets4n = 10Khavanskyi took 6 of 10
S2Khavanskyi4Semenets6n = 10Semenets took 6 of 10
S3Khavanskyi5Semenets5n = 10split evenly
S4Khavanskyi5Semenets3n = 8Khavanskyi took 5 of 8
S5Khavanskyi3Semenets2n = 5Khavanskyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhavanskyiSemenetsK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.441.3+0.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhavanskyiSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 301 vs 417 / 82750.5%50.4%152 / 301 vs 417 / 827Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhavanskyiKhavanskyi 1.67/Semenets 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Khavanskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Khavanskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 14:00D. Khavanskyi—11135882S. Semenets—9111111113
WSep 3 · 06:35D. Khavanskyi—1111113S. Semenets—9980
WSep 1 · 10:35D. Khavanskyi—971111113S. Semenets—11116372
WAug 30 · 10:35D. Khavanskyi—13512113S. Semenets—11111091
LAug 29 · 12:50D. Khavanskyi—9750S. Semenets—1111103
WAug 26 · 10:00D. Khavanskyi—111311113S. Semenets—815871
WAug 23 · 06:35D. Khavanskyi—712811113S. Semenets—111011862
LMay 13 · 08:30D. Khavanskyi—111181372S. Semenets—5131111113
WApr 8 · 19:20D. Khavanskyi—311117113S. Semenets—11761182
LApr 1 · 16:50D. Khavanskyi—1395101S. Semenets—111111123
D. Khavanskyi10
LSep 4 · 18:30S. Yakimenko1.671111113D. Khavanskyi2.105780LSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113LSep 4 · 14:00S. Semenets2.259111111113D. Khavanskyi1.5711135882LSep 4 · 12:00V. Mukhin1.9151111113D. Khavanskyi1.80117591LSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113WSep 3 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.611111113V. Stukalov2.206740LSep 3 · 08:05D. Khavanskyi1.25126531S. Osipov3.75101111113LSep 3 · 05:05D. Khavanskyi1.446260M. Khalenko2.631111113WSep 1 · 11:35V. Korniichuk1.61111411682D. Khavanskyi2.20716911113
S. Semenets10
LSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112WSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143LSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130WSep 5 · 07:05V. Kucheriavyi1.831111361S. Semenets1.8313811113WSep 5 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.4411126762S. Semenets2.639101111113LSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121WSep 4 · 14:00S. Semenets2.259111111113D. Khavanskyi1.5711135882
Upcoming Matches
D. Khavanskyi
Nothing scheduled
S. Semenets
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