TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073263
Played Sep 4Finished
Yevhenii Korotin
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311911811––––
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeDenys Khavanskyi to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Korotin above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 53 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Denys Khavanskyi at 62.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Korotin 2–5 Denys Khavanskyi Yevhenii Korotin has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:29What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Khavanskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Khavanskyi
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korotin 1293 vs Khavanskyi 1241
Korotin
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korotin 60% vs Khavanskyi 20%
Korotin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korotin 50% vs Khavanskyi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korotin +2 · Khavanskyi -3
Khavanskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Khavanskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khavanskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorotin 2.25 / Khavanskyi 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Khavanskyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13073263
Korotin2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 27 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Khavanskyi1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite40% won 20 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it74% 17 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKorotin2wins
AwayKhavanskyi5wins
3 of 7 to a deciderKhavanskyi leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorotin33.3%1 of 3
AwayKhavanskyi75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korotin3Khavanskyi4n = 7Khavanskyi took 4 of 7
S2Korotin4Khavanskyi3n = 7Korotin took 4 of 7
S3Korotin1Khavanskyi6n = 7Khavanskyi took 6 of 7
S4Korotin1Khavanskyi3n = 4Khavanskyi took 3 of 4
S5Korotin1Khavanskyi2n = 3Khavanskyi took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricKorotinKhavanskyiKorotin − KhavanskyiBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match37.140.9−3.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorotinKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 198 vs 152 / 30349%50.2%97 / 198 vs 152 / 303Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhavanskyiKorotin 2.25/Khavanskyi 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Khavanskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Khavanskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin—3980D. Khavanskyi—1111113
LAug 23 · 08:05Y. Korotin—10760D. Khavanskyi—1211113
LAug 26 · 15:40Y. Korotin—49110D. Khavanskyi—1111133
WJul 29 · 13:40Y. Korotin—11117123D. Khavanskyi—9811101
WJul 22 · 16:10Y. Korotin—8111110113D. Khavanskyi—11391252
LJun 17 · 16:10Y. Korotin—111110942D. Khavanskyi—961211113
LMay 27 · 11:40Y. Korotin—1411147102D. Khavanskyi—1261611123
Y. Korotin10
WSep 4 · 18:00V. Mukhin2.6311119342Y. Korotin1.44981111113LSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121WSep 4 · 14:30Y. Korotin3.50911811113S. Yakimenko1.2811911772WSep 4 · 12:30Y. Korotin1.831111113M. Khalenko1.835690LAug 30 · 16:40Y. Korotin1.917390V. Stukalov1.801111113LAug 30 · 15:10Y. Korotin2.7571080O. Mytsyk1.401112113WAug 30 · 13:40Y. Korotin1.73119118113M. Khalenko2.0091141162LAug 30 · 12:10Y. Korotin2.251110111242S. Baranskyi1.57712314113LAug 30 · 10:40Y. Korotin2.501161181K. Klymenko1.5091113113WAug 23 · 12:05Y. Korotin2.00131111113S. Semenets1.731191351
D. Khavanskyi10
LSep 4 · 18:30S. Yakimenko1.671111113D. Khavanskyi2.105780LSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931LSep 4 · 14:00S. Semenets2.259111111113D. Khavanskyi1.5711135882LSep 4 · 12:00V. Mukhin1.9151111113D. Khavanskyi1.80117591LSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113WSep 3 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.611111113V. Stukalov2.206740LSep 3 · 08:05D. Khavanskyi1.25126531S. Osipov3.75101111113WSep 3 · 06:35D. Khavanskyi1.671111113S. Semenets2.109980LSep 3 · 05:05D. Khavanskyi1.446260M. Khalenko2.631111113WSep 1 · 11:35V. Korniichuk1.61111411682D. Khavanskyi2.20716911113
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