TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13044456
Played Aug 30Finished
Yevhenii Korotin
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11710121131214411
Serhii Baranskyi
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:06 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Baranskyi to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Korotin above · Serhii Baranskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 95 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Serhii Baranskyi at 58.9%
95 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Korotin 1–2 Serhii Baranskyi Yevhenii Korotin has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:06What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Baranskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korotin 1249 vs Baranskyi 1318
Baranskyi
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korotin 40% vs Baranskyi 80%
Baranskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korotin 50% vs Baranskyi 70%
Baranskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korotin -1 · Baranskyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Baranskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baranskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorotin 2.25 / Baranskyi 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Baranskyi)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13044456
Korotin2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 29 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back26% 9 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Baranskyi1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 21 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it69% 18 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKorotin1wins
AwayBaranskyi2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderBaranskyi leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korotin1Baranskyi2n = 3Baranskyi took 2 of 3
S2Korotin1Baranskyi2n = 3Baranskyi took 2 of 3
S3Korotin1Baranskyi2n = 3Baranskyi took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricKorotinBaranskyiK − BBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match38.042.7−4.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorotinBaranskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 198 vs 103 / 19550%52.8%99 / 198 vs 103 / 195Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaranskyiKorotin 2.25/Baranskyi 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Baranskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Baranskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 30 · 12:10Y. Korotin—1110111242S. Baranskyi—712314113
LAug 23 · 07:05Y. Korotin—8820S. Baranskyi—1111113
WMar 15 · 13:10Y. Korotin—711712113S. Baranskyi—119111072
Y. Korotin10
WSep 4 · 18:00V. Mukhin2.6311119342Y. Korotin1.44981111113LSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121LSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113WSep 4 · 14:30Y. Korotin3.50911811113S. Yakimenko1.2811911772WSep 4 · 12:30Y. Korotin1.831111113M. Khalenko1.835690LAug 30 · 16:40Y. Korotin1.917390V. Stukalov1.801111113LAug 30 · 15:10Y. Korotin2.7571080O. Mytsyk1.401112113WAug 30 · 13:40Y. Korotin1.73119118113M. Khalenko2.0091141162LAug 30 · 10:40Y. Korotin2.501161181K. Klymenko1.5091113113WAug 23 · 12:05Y. Korotin2.00131111113S. Semenets1.731191351
S. Baranskyi10
WSep 6 · 18:30O. Leonenko1.9139111192S. Baranskyi1.80111164113WSep 6 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.918640S. Baranskyi1.801111113LSep 6 · 16:00B. Zaika1.7311811113S. Baranskyi2.00611391LSep 6 · 14:00K. Klymenko1.57714146103S. Baranskyi2.251112121172LSep 6 · 12:00V. Smyk1.5711911113S. Baranskyi2.25911361WAug 30 · 17:40M. Khalenko1.8310990S. Baranskyi1.831211113WAug 30 · 16:10S. Baranskyi2.5091111133K. Klymenko1.501189111WAug 30 · 11:10V. Stukalov2.00119261S. Baranskyi1.7381111113WAug 23 · 11:35V. Varchenko1.73491191S. Baranskyi2.0011116113LAug 23 · 10:35S. Semenets1.73111194113S. Baranskyi2.0097111172
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.