TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13085254
Played Sep 6Finished
Vasiliy Smyk
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119911113116––
Serhii Baranskyi
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:28 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeVasiliy Smyk to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasiliy Smyk above · Serhii Baranskyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 71 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Vasiliy Smyk at 59.7%
71 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:28What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Smyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Smyk 1411 vs Baranskyi 1318
Smyk
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Smyk 60% vs Baranskyi 100%
Baranskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Smyk 60% vs Baranskyi 80%
Baranskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Smyk -1 · Baranskyi +5
Baranskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Smyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baranskyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSmyk 1.57 / Baranskyi 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Smyk)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13085254
Smyk1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 36 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it74% 23 of 31
Baranskyi2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 14 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back20% 3 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSmykBaranskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 641 vs 103 / 19542.6%52.8%273 / 641 vs 103 / 195Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmykSmyk 1.57/Baranskyi 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Smyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Smyk won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Smyk10
LSep 6 · 18:00V. Smyk3.259470B. Zaika1.331111113WSep 6 · 16:30V. Smyk2.631112113O. Leonenko1.4481080LSep 6 · 15:00V. Smyk1.5711791192K. Klymenko2.25411113113WSep 6 · 13:30V. Smyk1.617111173O. Ovsiienko2.20116621LSep 5 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8311119113V. Smyk1.83471141WSep 5 · 17:00V. Smyk2.501111113O. Tymofeev1.506770WSep 5 · 16:00V. Smyk1.8311115113F. Voinarovskyi1.83771121LSep 5 · 14:30V. Smyk2.388118111D. Patalakha1.5311711133WSep 5 · 12:30V. Smyk2.501081112113S. Solomko1.50121161082WSep 2 · 18:00O. Mytsyk1.83101112642V. Smyk1.831281011113
S. Baranskyi10
WSep 6 · 18:30O. Leonenko1.9139111192S. Baranskyi1.80111164113WSep 6 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.918640S. Baranskyi1.801111113LSep 6 · 16:00B. Zaika1.7311811113S. Baranskyi2.00611391LSep 6 · 14:00K. Klymenko1.57714146103S. Baranskyi2.251112121172WAug 30 · 17:40M. Khalenko1.8310990S. Baranskyi1.831211113WAug 30 · 16:10S. Baranskyi2.5091111133K. Klymenko1.501189111WAug 30 · 12:10Y. Korotin2.251110111242S. Baranskyi1.57712314113WAug 30 · 11:10V. Stukalov2.00119261S. Baranskyi1.7381111113WAug 23 · 11:35V. Varchenko1.73491191S. Baranskyi2.0011116113LAug 23 · 10:35S. Semenets1.73111194113S. Baranskyi2.0097111172
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