TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061307
Played Sep 2Finished
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121181210611411
Vasiliy Smyk
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Mytsyk above · Vasiliy Smyk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 95 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mytsyk 40–29 Vasiliy Smyk Vasiliy Smyk has won 29 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:23What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Smyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-29 in 69
Mytsyk
Wrong
gap of 11 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mytsyk 1362 vs Smyk 1398
Smyk
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mytsyk 40% vs Smyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mytsyk 40% vs Smyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mytsyk -1 · Smyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Smyk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Smyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMytsyk 1.83 / Smyk 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Smyk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13061307
Mytsyk1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Smyk1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMytsyk6wins
AwaySmyk4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMytsyk leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMytsyk83.3%5 of 6
AwaySmyk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mytsyk6Smyk4n = 10Mytsyk took 6 of 10
S2Mytsyk5Smyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Mytsyk4Smyk6n = 10Smyk took 6 of 10
S4Mytsyk4Smyk3n = 7Mytsyk took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMytsykSmykM − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.134.7+1.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMytsykSmykBasisWin rate · lifetime535 / 1072 vs 269 / 63549.9%42.4%535 / 1072 vs 269 / 635Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmykMytsyk 1.83/Smyk 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Smyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Smyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 27 · 06:50O. Mytsyk—13114113V. Smyk—1171141
LJul 26 · 14:30O. Mytsyk—13990V. Smyk—1511113
WJul 20 · 09:20O. Mytsyk—11119113V. Smyk—481131
LJul 19 · 13:00O. Mytsyk—115651V. Smyk—31111113
WJul 10 · 06:50O. Mytsyk—127116113V. Smyk—101171192
LJun 16 · 11:40O. Mytsyk—101090V. Smyk—1212113
WJun 2 · 14:10O. Mytsyk—11116113V. Smyk—771121
WMay 31 · 06:20O. Mytsyk—1111113V. Smyk—4970
WMay 30 · 15:50O. Mytsyk—81111153V. Smyk—1199131
LMay 24 · 10:50O. Mytsyk—821271V. Smyk—111110113
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 7 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.5012119792O. Mytsyk1.501061111113WSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 12:05A. Kovalenko1.5711611113O. Mytsyk2.25511541LSep 4 · 10:35O. Mytsyk1.91119881E. Populovskyi1.8091111113WSep 4 · 08:35V. Melnykov2.25111410482O. Mytsyk1.579121211113LSep 4 · 06:35M. Stetsenko1.4411714113O. Mytsyk2.636111241LSep 4 · 05:35K. Klymenko1.611111113O. Mytsyk2.209870WSep 3 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.251111913113A. Kovalenko1.57136111192LSep 3 · 10:50K. Klymenko1.6751117113O. Mytsyk2.101121581LSep 3 · 08:50M. Stetsenko1.5011119113O. Mytsyk2.50951151
V. Smyk10
LSep 6 · 18:00V. Smyk3.259470B. Zaika1.331111113WSep 6 · 16:30V. Smyk2.631112113O. Leonenko1.4481080LSep 6 · 15:00V. Smyk1.5711791192K. Klymenko2.25411113113WSep 6 · 13:30V. Smyk1.617111173O. Ovsiienko2.20116621WSep 6 · 12:00V. Smyk1.5711911113S. Baranskyi2.25911361LSep 5 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8311119113V. Smyk1.83471141WSep 5 · 17:00V. Smyk2.501111113O. Tymofeev1.506770WSep 5 · 16:00V. Smyk1.8311115113F. Voinarovskyi1.83771121LSep 5 · 14:30V. Smyk2.388118111D. Patalakha1.5311711133WSep 5 · 12:30V. Smyk2.501081112113S. Solomko1.50121161082
Upcoming Matches
O. Mytsyk
V. Smyk
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