TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088936
Played Sep 7Finished
Vladyslav Stukalov
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210116911711911
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:10 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Oleksandr Mytsyk below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 97 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 65.3%
97 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 2–2 Oleksandr Mytsyk Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:10What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Mytsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1251 vs Mytsyk 1322
Mytsyk
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 40% vs Mytsyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 40% vs Mytsyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov +1 · Mytsyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Mytsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mytsyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 2.50 / Mytsyk 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Mytsyk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13088936
Stukalov2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 102 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back21% 25 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 71
Mytsyk1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite54% won 168 of 311
Up 2–0, closes it89% 83 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it78% 127 of 163
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeStukalov2wins
AwayMytsyk2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStukalovn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMytsyk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stukalov1Mytsyk3n = 4Mytsyk took 3 of 4
S2Stukalov2Mytsyk2n = 4split evenly
S3Stukalov2Mytsyk2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricStukalovMytsykS − MBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match34.837.2−2.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovMytsykBasisWin rate · lifetime410 / 811 vs 530 / 106750.6%49.7%410 / 811 vs 530 / 1067Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykStukalov 2.50/Mytsyk 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 12 · 06:05V. Stukalov—41014121O. Mytsyk—111212143
WAug 10 · 05:30V. Stukalov—511711113O. Mytsyk—11911692
LAug 8 · 08:00V. Stukalov—9840O. Mytsyk—1111113
WJul 30 · 07:35V. Stukalov—1111113O. Mytsyk—6870
V. Stukalov10
WSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.361111113V. Stukalov3.009850LSep 5 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.8312711692V. Kucheriavyi1.831011511113WSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130LSep 5 · 07:35V. Stukalov1.53117991O. Stopin2.3841111113LSep 5 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.001012471V. Varchenko1.73121011113LSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.0011911492M. Khalenko1.73111911113LSep 3 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.611111113V. Stukalov2.206740WSep 3 · 08:35V. Stukalov1.8311512113S. Semenets1.839111061WSep 3 · 07:35V. Korniichuk1.3671111882V. Stukalov3.00119611113
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 12:05A. Kovalenko1.5711611113O. Mytsyk2.25511541LSep 4 · 10:35O. Mytsyk1.91119881E. Populovskyi1.8091111113WSep 4 · 08:35V. Melnykov2.25111410482O. Mytsyk1.579121211113LSep 4 · 06:35M. Stetsenko1.4411714113O. Mytsyk2.636111241LSep 4 · 05:35K. Klymenko1.611111113O. Mytsyk2.209870WSep 3 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.251111913113A. Kovalenko1.57136111192LSep 3 · 10:50K. Klymenko1.6751117113O. Mytsyk2.101121581LSep 3 · 08:50M. Stetsenko1.5011119113O. Mytsyk2.50951151WSep 3 · 07:50O. Mytsyk2.001011811113O. Ovsiienko1.7312711262
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