TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067316
Played Sep 3Finished
Vladyslav Stukalov
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
111911119411911
Mykhailo Khalenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:18 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Khalenko to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Mykhailo Khalenko below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 87 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Mykhailo Khalenko at 54.5%
87 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 30–29 Mykhailo Khalenko Mykhailo Khalenko has won 29 of their 59 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:18What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Khalenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-29 in 59
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1290 vs Khalenko 1295
Khalenko
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 80% vs Khalenko 60%
Stukalov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 70% vs Khalenko 40%
Stukalov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov -1 · Khalenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Khalenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stukalov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 2.00 / Khalenko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Khalenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13067316
Stukalov2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 102 of 218
Down 0–1, comes back21% 25 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 69
Khalenko1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite78% won 43 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStukalov1wins
AwayKhalenko9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKhalenko leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStukalov33.3%1 of 3
AwayKhalenko100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stukalov3Khalenko7n = 10Khalenko took 7 of 10
S2Stukalov2Khalenko8n = 10Khalenko took 8 of 10
S3Stukalov5Khalenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Stukalov3Khalenko4n = 7Khalenko took 4 of 7
S5Stukalov0Khalenko4n = 4Khalenko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricStukalovKhalenkoS − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.241.9−7.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovKhalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime411 / 814 vs 184 / 36750.5%50.1%411 / 814 vs 184 / 367Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhalenkoStukalov 2.00/Khalenko 1.73
Hit
What we said
54.5%
Khalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Khalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 09:05V. Stukalov—61161152M. Khalenko—118119113
LAug 24 · 09:05V. Stukalov—61040M. Khalenko—1112113
LAug 21 · 05:35V. Stukalov—010110M. Khalenko—1112133
LAug 19 · 08:00V. Stukalov—119111132M. Khalenko—611513113
LAug 18 · 08:00V. Stukalov—9960M. Khalenko—1111113
LAug 1 · 08:30V. Stukalov—471112102M. Khalenko—1111810123
WJul 28 · 11:00V. Stukalov—11117113M. Khalenko—771171
LJul 27 · 09:00V. Stukalov—11101161M. Khalenko—13127113
LJul 24 · 08:00V. Stukalov—11811722M. Khalenko—911711113
LJul 20 · 11:00V. Stukalov—4612101M. Khalenko—111110123
V. Stukalov10
WSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.361111113V. Stukalov3.009850LSep 5 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.8312711692V. Kucheriavyi1.831011511113WSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130LSep 5 · 07:35V. Stukalov1.53117991O. Stopin2.3841111113LSep 5 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.001012471V. Varchenko1.73121011113LSep 3 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.611111113V. Stukalov2.206740WSep 3 · 08:35V. Stukalov1.8311512113S. Semenets1.839111061WSep 3 · 07:35V. Korniichuk1.3671111882V. Stukalov3.00119611113WSep 3 · 06:05V. Stukalov1.2011911113S. Osipov4.33611561
M. Khalenko10
WSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 15:30S. Yakimenko1.8311611552M. Khalenko1.83711911113LSep 4 · 13:30V. Mukhin2.3811147113M. Khalenko1.535121151LSep 4 · 12:30Y. Korotin1.831111113M. Khalenko1.835690WSep 3 · 10:35S. Semenets2.20512761M. Khalenko1.61111011113LSep 3 · 09:05V. Korniichuk1.281111113M. Khalenko3.509970WSep 3 · 07:05S. Osipov2.7511811842M. Khalenko1.40811811113WSep 3 · 05:05D. Khavanskyi1.446260M. Khalenko2.631111113LAug 31 · 11:50K. Klymenko1.441111113M. Khalenko2.636630
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.