TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067391
Played Sep 3Finished
Vladyslav Stukalov
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116911115116––
Sergey Osipov
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:39 and never touched — 81.8% is still 81.8%
Graded at full timeVladyslav Stukalov to win
81.8%
81.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Sergey Osipov below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 70 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Vladyslav Stukalov at 81.8%
70 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 19–2 Sergey Osipov Sergey Osipov has won 2 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:39What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Stukalov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-2 in 21
Stukalov
Correct
gap of 17 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1264 vs Osipov 1151
Stukalov
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 60% vs Osipov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 50% vs Osipov 80%
Osipov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov +2 · Osipov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Stukalov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osipov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 1.20 / Osipov 4.33
Signal prob.82% / 18%
Edge (Stukalov)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13067391
Stukalov1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 111 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it97% 61 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it81% 82 of 101
Osipov4.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 27 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStukalov10wins
AwayOsipov0wins
Stukalov leads 10–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStukalov100%8 of 8
AwayOsipovn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stukalov8Osipov2n = 10Stukalov took 8 of 10
S2Stukalov7Osipov3n = 10Stukalov took 7 of 10
S3Stukalov10Osipov0n = 10Stukalov took 10 of 10
S4Stukalov5Osipov0n = 5Stukalov took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStukalovOsipovS − OBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.724.8+12.9per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovOsipovBasisWin rate · lifetime408 / 811 vs 139 / 28950.3%48.1%408 / 811 vs 139 / 289Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StukalovStukalov 1.20/Osipov 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.8%
Stukalov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stukalov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 06:05V. Stukalov—11911113S. Osipov—611561
WApr 3 · 05:30V. Stukalov—1111113S. Osipov—4160
WMar 31 · 11:10V. Stukalov—11711113S. Osipov—811751
WMar 27 · 10:30V. Stukalov—1111113S. Osipov—7790
WMar 20 · 06:30V. Stukalov—11911123S. Osipov—7119101
WMar 16 · 10:30V. Stukalov—1111113S. Osipov—5480
WFeb 7 · 06:30V. Stukalov—1312113S. Osipov—111030
WDec 8 · 08:00V. Stukalov—91111113S. Osipov—115381
WNov 26 · 08:35V. Stukalov—81111113S. Osipov—115561
WSep 1 · 07:00V. Stukalov—1211113S. Osipov—10490
V. Stukalov10
WSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.361111113V. Stukalov3.009850LSep 5 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.8312711692V. Kucheriavyi1.831011511113WSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130LSep 5 · 07:35V. Stukalov1.53117991O. Stopin2.3841111113LSep 5 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.001012471V. Varchenko1.73121011113LSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.0011911492M. Khalenko1.73111911113LSep 3 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.611111113V. Stukalov2.206740WSep 3 · 08:35V. Stukalov1.8311512113S. Semenets1.839111061WSep 3 · 07:35V. Korniichuk1.3671111882V. Stukalov3.00119611113
S. Osipov10
LSep 3 · 12:05S. Osipov2.258780S. Semenets1.571111113LSep 3 · 10:05V. Korniichuk1.20111011113S. Osipov4.33712541WSep 3 · 08:05D. Khavanskyi1.25126531S. Osipov3.75101111113LSep 3 · 07:05S. Osipov2.7511811842M. Khalenko1.40811811113LAug 30 · 11:35S. Osipov2.639640D. Khavanskyi1.441111113WAug 30 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.445780S. Osipov2.631111113LAug 30 · 08:35S. Osipov2.50611121182S. Semenets1.50119147113WAug 30 · 07:35O. Ponomarenko1.919490S. Osipov1.801111113WAug 30 · 06:05S. Osipov1.221311113M. Tkalich4.0011750WAug 28 · 18:00O. Efimov3.25311361S. Osipov1.3311911113
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