TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067195
Played Sep 3Finished
Vitalii Korniichuk
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171012115114––
Sergey Osipov
Away
4.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 81.8% is still 81.8%
Graded at full timeVitalii Korniichuk to win
81.8%
81.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Korniichuk above · Sergey Osipov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 71 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Vitalii Korniichuk at 81.8%
71 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Korniichuk 18–2 Sergey Osipov Sergey Osipov has won 2 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Korniichuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-2 in 20
Korniichuk
Correct
gap of 16 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korniichuk 1320 vs Osipov 1171
Korniichuk
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korniichuk 60% vs Osipov 40%
Korniichuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korniichuk 50% vs Osipov 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korniichuk +1 · Osipov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Korniichuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osipov form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorniichuk 1.20 / Osipov 4.33
Signal prob.82% / 18%
Edge (Korniichuk)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13067195
Korniichuk1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite68% won 70 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it98% 41 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it83% 53 of 64
Osipov4.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 27 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorniichuk10wins
AwayOsipov0wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKorniichuk leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorniichuk100%7 of 7
AwayOsipov0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korniichuk7Osipov3n = 10Korniichuk took 7 of 10
S2Korniichuk8Osipov2n = 10Korniichuk took 8 of 10
S3Korniichuk8Osipov2n = 10Korniichuk took 8 of 10
S4Korniichuk5Osipov1n = 6Korniichuk took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorniichukOsipovK − OBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.928.3+10.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorniichukOsipovBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 497 vs 139 / 28755.1%48.4%274 / 497 vs 139 / 287Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorniichukKorniichuk 1.20/Osipov 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.8%
Korniichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Korniichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 3 · 09:30V. Korniichuk—1111113S. Osipov—6850
WMar 27 · 07:30V. Korniichuk—111198113S. Osipov—96111182
WMar 20 · 10:30V. Korniichuk—61112113S. Osipov—1181031
WMar 16 · 08:30V. Korniichuk—117611113S. Osipov—51111672
WJan 31 · 08:30V. Korniichuk—1111113S. Osipov—3150
WDec 8 · 09:00V. Korniichuk—1111113S. Osipov—8990
WDec 2 · 12:00V. Korniichuk—61112113S. Osipov—1161071
WNov 28 · 12:00V. Korniichuk—12911113S. Osipov—1011591
WNov 26 · 12:35V. Korniichuk—51111113S. Osipov—116921
WNov 21 · 12:00V. Korniichuk—1111113S. Osipov—3930
V. Korniichuk10
WSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113WSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113WSep 3 · 09:05V. Korniichuk1.281111113M. Khalenko3.509970LSep 3 · 07:35V. Korniichuk1.3671111882V. Stukalov3.00119611113WSep 3 · 05:35V. Korniichuk1.611251011123S. Semenets2.201011123102LSep 1 · 11:35V. Korniichuk1.61111411682D. Khavanskyi2.20716911113WSep 1 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.63711111062V. Korniichuk1.44117912113LSep 1 · 08:35V. Korniichuk1.5311791182S. Semenets2.38911119113WSep 1 · 07:35V. Stukalov3.00661141V. Korniichuk1.3611118113
S. Osipov10
LSep 3 · 12:05S. Osipov2.258780S. Semenets1.571111113WSep 3 · 08:05D. Khavanskyi1.25126531S. Osipov3.75101111113LSep 3 · 07:05S. Osipov2.7511811842M. Khalenko1.40811811113LSep 3 · 06:05V. Stukalov1.2011911113S. Osipov4.33611561LAug 30 · 11:35S. Osipov2.639640D. Khavanskyi1.441111113WAug 30 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.445780S. Osipov2.631111113LAug 30 · 08:35S. Osipov2.50611121182S. Semenets1.50119147113WAug 30 · 07:35O. Ponomarenko1.919490S. Osipov1.801111113WAug 30 · 06:05S. Osipov1.221311113M. Tkalich4.0011750WAug 28 · 18:00O. Efimov3.25311361S. Osipov1.3311911113
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