TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066973
Played Sep 3Finished
Vitalii Korniichuk
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119117––––
Mykhailo Khalenko
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeVitalii Korniichuk to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Korniichuk above · Mykhailo Khalenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 58 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Vitalii Korniichuk at 76.6%
58 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Korniichuk 13–1 Mykhailo Khalenko Mykhailo Khalenko has won 1 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:38What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Korniichuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-1 in 14
Korniichuk
Correct
gap of 12 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korniichuk 1307 vs Khalenko 1298
Korniichuk
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korniichuk 40% vs Khalenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korniichuk 40% vs Khalenko 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korniichuk -1 · Khalenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Korniichuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khalenko form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorniichuk 1.28 / Khalenko 3.50
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Korniichuk)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13066973
Korniichuk1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite68% won 70 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it98% 41 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it83% 53 of 64
Khalenko3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 68 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back29% 23 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorniichuk9wins
AwayKhalenko1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKorniichuk leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorniichuk100%7 of 7
AwayKhalenko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korniichuk7Khalenko3n = 10Korniichuk took 7 of 10
S2Korniichuk7Khalenko3n = 10Korniichuk took 7 of 10
S3Korniichuk8Khalenko2n = 10Korniichuk took 8 of 10
S4Korniichuk5Khalenko0n = 5Korniichuk took 5 of 5
S5Korniichuk2Khalenko1n = 3Korniichuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorniichukKhalenkoKorniichuk − KhalenkoBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.932.2+7.7per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorniichukKhalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 496 vs 183 / 36555%50.1%273 / 496 vs 183 / 365Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorniichukKorniichuk 1.28/Khalenko 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Korniichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Korniichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 05:05V. Korniichuk—48151162M. Khalenko—1111135113
WMay 22 · 04:30V. Korniichuk—1111163M. Khalenko—96140
WApr 24 · 04:30V. Korniichuk—1113113M. Khalenko—61130
WApr 15 · 09:35V. Korniichuk—1211113M. Khalenko—10580
WJan 30 · 11:40V. Korniichuk—91111113M. Khalenko—115991
WJan 14 · 12:30V. Korniichuk—551111133M. Khalenko—111187112
WJan 12 · 12:00V. Korniichuk—1111113M. Khalenko—0580
WJan 5 · 06:35V. Korniichuk—15119113M. Khalenko—1331191
WNov 20 · 10:05V. Korniichuk—134711113M. Khalenko—111111422
WNov 10 · 06:30V. Korniichuk—1112133M. Khalenko—810110
V. Korniichuk10
WSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113WSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113WSep 3 · 10:05V. Korniichuk1.20111011113S. Osipov4.33712541LSep 3 · 07:35V. Korniichuk1.3671111882V. Stukalov3.00119611113WSep 3 · 05:35V. Korniichuk1.611251011123S. Semenets2.201011123102LSep 1 · 11:35V. Korniichuk1.61111411682D. Khavanskyi2.20716911113WSep 1 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.63711111062V. Korniichuk1.44117912113LSep 1 · 08:35V. Korniichuk1.5311791182S. Semenets2.38911119113WSep 1 · 07:35V. Stukalov3.00661141V. Korniichuk1.3611118113
M. Khalenko10
WSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 15:30S. Yakimenko1.8311611552M. Khalenko1.83711911113LSep 4 · 13:30V. Mukhin2.3811147113M. Khalenko1.535121151LSep 4 · 12:30Y. Korotin1.831111113M. Khalenko1.835690WSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.0011911492M. Khalenko1.73111911113WSep 3 · 10:35S. Semenets2.20512761M. Khalenko1.61111011113WSep 3 · 07:05S. Osipov2.7511811842M. Khalenko1.40811811113WSep 3 · 05:05D. Khavanskyi1.446260M. Khalenko2.631111113LAug 31 · 11:50K. Klymenko1.441111113M. Khalenko2.636630
Upcoming Matches
V. Korniichuk
M. Khalenko
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.