TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066837
Played Sep 3Finished
Denys Khavanskyi
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611211611––––
Mykhailo Khalenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeDenys Khavanskyi to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDenys Khavanskyi above · Mykhailo Khalenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 47 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Denys Khavanskyi at 65.3%
47 points played in total.
H2H Denys Khavanskyi 9–5 Mykhailo Khalenko Mykhailo Khalenko has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Khavanskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-5 in 14
Khavanskyi
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khavanskyi 1295 vs Khalenko 1277
Khavanskyi
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khavanskyi 80% vs Khalenko 20%
Khavanskyi
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khavanskyi 80% vs Khalenko 10%
Khavanskyi
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khavanskyi +4 · Khalenko -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Khavanskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khalenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhavanskyi 1.44 / Khalenko 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Khavanskyi)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13066837
Khavanskyi1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite39% won 18 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it75% 15 of 20
Khalenko2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog46% won 68 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back29% 23 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhavanskyi7wins
AwayKhalenko3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKhavanskyi leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhavanskyi100%5 of 5
AwayKhalenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khavanskyi5Khalenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Khavanskyi8Khalenko2n = 10Khavanskyi took 8 of 10
S3Khavanskyi6Khalenko4n = 10Khavanskyi took 6 of 10
S4Khavanskyi5Khalenko2n = 7Khavanskyi took 5 of 7
S5Khavanskyi1Khalenko2n = 3Khalenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhavanskyiKhalenkoKhavanskyi − KhalenkoBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.735.1+5.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhavanskyiKhalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 296 vs 181 / 36851.4%49.2%152 / 296 vs 181 / 368Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhavanskyiKhavanskyi 1.44/Khalenko 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Khavanskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Khalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 10:35D. Khavanskyi—1115113M. Khalenko—61380
WAug 30 · 10:35D. Khavanskyi—115116113M. Khalenko—81141172
WAug 26 · 11:40D. Khavanskyi—71111113M. Khalenko—118591
WAug 23 · 09:05D. Khavanskyi—121111113M. Khalenko—149901
WAug 1 · 09:20D. Khavanskyi—111117113M. Khalenko—571991
LJul 31 · 20:20D. Khavanskyi—10870M. Khalenko—1211113
WJul 29 · 17:40D. Khavanskyi—1111113M. Khalenko—9990
WJul 26 · 10:35D. Khavanskyi—11118113M. Khalenko—731141
LJul 22 · 12:40D. Khavanskyi—411101182M. Khalenko—117125113
LJul 19 · 10:35D. Khavanskyi—91111892M. Khalenko—115811113
D. Khavanskyi10
LSep 4 · 18:30S. Yakimenko1.671111113D. Khavanskyi2.105780LSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113LSep 4 · 14:00S. Semenets2.259111111113D. Khavanskyi1.5711135882LSep 4 · 12:00V. Mukhin1.9151111113D. Khavanskyi1.80117591LSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113WSep 3 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.611111113V. Stukalov2.206740LSep 3 · 08:05D. Khavanskyi1.25126531S. Osipov3.75101111113WSep 3 · 06:35D. Khavanskyi1.671111113S. Semenets2.109980WSep 1 · 11:35V. Korniichuk1.61111411682D. Khavanskyi2.20716911113
M. Khalenko10
WSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 15:30S. Yakimenko1.8311611552M. Khalenko1.83711911113LSep 4 · 13:30V. Mukhin2.3811147113M. Khalenko1.535121151LSep 4 · 12:30Y. Korotin1.831111113M. Khalenko1.835690WSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.0011911492M. Khalenko1.73111911113WSep 3 · 10:35S. Semenets2.20512761M. Khalenko1.61111011113LSep 3 · 09:05V. Korniichuk1.281111113M. Khalenko3.509970WSep 3 · 07:05S. Osipov2.7511811842M. Khalenko1.40811811113LAug 31 · 11:50K. Klymenko1.441111113M. Khalenko2.636630
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