TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073294
Played Sep 4Finished
Serhii Semenets
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111113115118118
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeDenys Khavanskyi to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Semenets above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 98 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Denys Khavanskyi at 59.3%
98 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Semenets 15–22 Denys Khavanskyi Serhii Semenets has won 15 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Khavanskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-22 in 37
Khavanskyi
Wrong
gap of 7 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Semenets 1254 vs Khavanskyi 1269
Khavanskyi
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Semenets 40% vs Khavanskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Semenets 40% vs Khavanskyi 60%
Khavanskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Semenets +2 · Khavanskyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Khavanskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khavanskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSemenets 2.25 / Khavanskyi 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Khavanskyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13073294
Semenets2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 43 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Khavanskyi1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite40% won 20 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it74% 17 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSemenets3wins
AwayKhavanskyi7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKhavanskyi leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSemenets25%1 of 4
AwayKhavanskyi66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Semenets4Khavanskyi6n = 10Khavanskyi took 6 of 10
S2Semenets6Khavanskyi4n = 10Semenets took 6 of 10
S3Semenets4Khavanskyi6n = 10Khavanskyi took 6 of 10
S4Semenets2Khavanskyi5n = 7Khavanskyi took 5 of 7
S5Semenets1Khavanskyi3n = 4Khavanskyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSemenetsKhavanskyiS − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.840.1−2.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSemenetsKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime414 / 822 vs 154 / 30250.4%51%414 / 822 vs 154 / 302Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhavanskyiSemenets 2.25/Khavanskyi 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Khavanskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Semenets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 06:35S. Semenets—9980D. Khavanskyi—1111113
LSep 1 · 10:35S. Semenets—11116372D. Khavanskyi—971111113
LAug 30 · 10:35S. Semenets—11111091D. Khavanskyi—13512113
WAug 29 · 12:50S. Semenets—1111103D. Khavanskyi—9750
LAug 26 · 10:00S. Semenets—815871D. Khavanskyi—111311113
LAug 23 · 06:35S. Semenets—111011862D. Khavanskyi—712811113
WMay 13 · 08:30S. Semenets—5131111113D. Khavanskyi—111181372
LApr 8 · 19:20S. Semenets—11761182D. Khavanskyi—311117113
WApr 1 · 16:50S. Semenets—111111123D. Khavanskyi—1395101
LFeb 15 · 16:50S. Semenets—7650D. Khavanskyi—1111103
S. Semenets10
LSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112WSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143LSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130WSep 5 · 07:05V. Kucheriavyi1.831111361S. Semenets1.8313811113WSep 5 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.4411126762S. Semenets2.639101111113LSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121LSep 4 · 15:00V. Mukhin1.401111912133S. Semenets2.75671114112
D. Khavanskyi10
LSep 4 · 18:30S. Yakimenko1.671111113D. Khavanskyi2.105780LSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113LSep 4 · 12:00V. Mukhin1.9151111113D. Khavanskyi1.80117591LSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113WSep 3 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.611111113V. Stukalov2.206740LSep 3 · 08:05D. Khavanskyi1.25126531S. Osipov3.75101111113WSep 3 · 06:35D. Khavanskyi1.671111113S. Semenets2.109980LSep 3 · 05:05D. Khavanskyi1.446260M. Khalenko2.631111113WSep 1 · 11:35V. Korniichuk1.61111411682D. Khavanskyi2.20716911113
Upcoming Matches
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D. Khavanskyi
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