TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066970
Played Sep 3Finished
Denys Khavanskyi
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210611511311––
Sergey Osipov
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 75.0% is still 75.0%
Graded at full timeDenys Khavanskyi to win
75.0%
75.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDenys Khavanskyi above · Sergey Osipov below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 69 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Denys Khavanskyi at 75.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Denys Khavanskyi 2–1 Sergey Osipov Sergey Osipov has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Khavanskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khavanskyi 1278 vs Osipov 1171
Khavanskyi
Wrong
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khavanskyi 80% vs Osipov 20%
Khavanskyi
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khavanskyi 80% vs Osipov 60%
Khavanskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khavanskyi +1 · Osipov -3
Osipov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Khavanskyi)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhavanskyi 1.25 / Osipov 3.75
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Khavanskyi)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13066970
Khavanskyi1.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite39% won 18 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it75% 15 of 20
Osipov3.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 27 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKhavanskyi2wins
AwayOsipov1wins
Khavanskyi leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhavanskyi66.7%2 of 3
AwayOsipovn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khavanskyi3Osipov0n = 3Khavanskyi took 3 of 3
S2Khavanskyi1Osipov2n = 3Osipov took 2 of 3
S3Khavanskyi2Osipov1n = 3Khavanskyi took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKhavanskyiOsipovK − OBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match33.031.0+2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhavanskyiOsipovBasisWin rate · lifetime153 / 299 vs 139 / 28751.2%48.4%153 / 299 vs 139 / 287Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhavanskyiKhavanskyi 1.25/Osipov 3.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75%
Khavanskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Osipov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 3 · 08:05D. Khavanskyi—126531S. Osipov—101111113
WAug 30 · 11:35D. Khavanskyi—1111113S. Osipov—9640
WAug 25 · 07:05D. Khavanskyi—11711113S. Osipov—711761
D. Khavanskyi10
LSep 4 · 18:30S. Yakimenko1.671111113D. Khavanskyi2.105780LSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113LSep 4 · 14:00S. Semenets2.259111111113D. Khavanskyi1.5711135882LSep 4 · 12:00V. Mukhin1.9151111113D. Khavanskyi1.80117591LSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113WSep 3 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.611111113V. Stukalov2.206740WSep 3 · 06:35D. Khavanskyi1.671111113S. Semenets2.109980LSep 3 · 05:05D. Khavanskyi1.446260M. Khalenko2.631111113WSep 1 · 11:35V. Korniichuk1.61111411682D. Khavanskyi2.20716911113
S. Osipov10
LSep 3 · 12:05S. Osipov2.258780S. Semenets1.571111113LSep 3 · 10:05V. Korniichuk1.20111011113S. Osipov4.33712541LSep 3 · 07:05S. Osipov2.7511811842M. Khalenko1.40811811113LSep 3 · 06:05V. Stukalov1.2011911113S. Osipov4.33611561LAug 30 · 11:35S. Osipov2.639640D. Khavanskyi1.441111113WAug 30 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.445780S. Osipov2.631111113LAug 30 · 08:35S. Osipov2.50611121182S. Semenets1.50119147113WAug 30 · 07:35O. Ponomarenko1.919490S. Osipov1.801111113WAug 30 · 06:05S. Osipov1.221311113M. Tkalich4.0011750WAug 28 · 18:00O. Efimov3.25311361S. Osipov1.3311911113
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