TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043815
Played Aug 30Finished
Sergey Osipov
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611411––––
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:31 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeDenys Khavanskyi to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSergey Osipov above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 52 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Denys Khavanskyi at 62.5%
52 points played in total.
H2H Sergey Osipov 0–1 Denys Khavanskyi Sergey Osipov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:31What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Khavanskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Osipov 1183 vs Khavanskyi 1251
Khavanskyi
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osipov 80% vs Khavanskyi 60%
Osipov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osipov 90% vs Khavanskyi 60%
Osipov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osipov +1 · Khavanskyi +3
Khavanskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Khavanskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osipov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsipov 2.63 / Khavanskyi 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Khavanskyi)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13043815
Osipov2.63
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog43% won 26 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Khavanskyi1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite33% won 13 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it73% 11 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOsipov0wins
AwayKhavanskyi1wins
Khavanskyi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricOsipovKhavanskyiO − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match31.040.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsipovKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 283 vs 152 / 29648.8%51.4%138 / 283 vs 152 / 296Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.135.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhavanskyiOsipov 2.63/Khavanskyi 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Khavanskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Khavanskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 25 · 07:05S. Osipov—711761D. Khavanskyi—11711113
S. Osipov10
LSep 3 · 12:05S. Osipov2.258780S. Semenets1.571111113LSep 3 · 10:05V. Korniichuk1.20111011113S. Osipov4.33712541WSep 3 · 08:05D. Khavanskyi1.25126531S. Osipov3.75101111113LSep 3 · 07:05S. Osipov2.7511811842M. Khalenko1.40811811113LSep 3 · 06:05V. Stukalov1.2011911113S. Osipov4.33611561WAug 30 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.445780S. Osipov2.631111113LAug 30 · 08:35S. Osipov2.50611121182S. Semenets1.50119147113WAug 30 · 07:35O. Ponomarenko1.919490S. Osipov1.801111113WAug 30 · 06:05S. Osipov1.221311113M. Tkalich4.0011750WAug 28 · 18:00O. Efimov3.25311361S. Osipov1.3311911113
D. Khavanskyi10
LSep 4 · 18:30S. Yakimenko1.671111113D. Khavanskyi2.105780LSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113LSep 4 · 14:00S. Semenets2.259111111113D. Khavanskyi1.5711135882LSep 4 · 12:00V. Mukhin1.9151111113D. Khavanskyi1.80117591LSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113WSep 3 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.611111113V. Stukalov2.206740LSep 3 · 08:05D. Khavanskyi1.25126531S. Osipov3.75101111113WSep 3 · 06:35D. Khavanskyi1.671111113S. Semenets2.109980LSep 3 · 05:05D. Khavanskyi1.446260M. Khalenko2.631111113
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