TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079166
Played Sep 5Finished
Vadym Kucheriavyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113118311611––
Serhii Semenets
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Semenets to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingVadym Kucheriavyi above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 74 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Serhii Semenets at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Vadym Kucheriavyi 1–4 Serhii Semenets Vadym Kucheriavyi has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:27What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Semenets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Semenets
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kucheriavyi 1221 vs Semenets 1255
Semenets
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kucheriavyi 20% vs Semenets 60%
Semenets
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kucheriavyi 40% vs Semenets 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kucheriavyi -4 · Semenets +1
Kucheriavyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Semenets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucheriavyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucheriavyi 1.83 / Semenets 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Semenets)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13079166
Kucheriavyi1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Semenets1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKucheriavyi1wins
AwaySemenets4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderSemenets leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKucheriavyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySemenets100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kucheriavyi2Semenets3n = 5Semenets took 3 of 5
S2Kucheriavyi1Semenets4n = 5Semenets took 4 of 5
S3Kucheriavyi0Semenets5n = 5Semenets took 5 of 5
S4Kucheriavyi1Semenets2n = 3Semenets took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricKucheriavyiSemenetsK − SBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match31.038.2−7.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKucheriavyiSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 115 vs 417 / 82740.9%50.4%47 / 115 vs 417 / 827Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemenetsKucheriavyi 1.83/Semenets 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Semenets · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Semenets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 22 · 11:00V. Kucheriavyi—118871S. Semenets—51111113
WAug 16 · 08:35V. Kucheriavyi—1113911113S. Semenets—81511472
LNov 29 · 06:00V. Kucheriavyi—711521S. Semenets—11811113
LMay 31 · 06:50V. Kucheriavyi—9520S. Semenets—1111113
LFeb 8 · 13:20V. Kucheriavyi—61090S. Semenets—1112113
V. Kucheriavyi10
WSep 5 · 12:05V. Kucheriavyi1.61411411123V. Varchenko2.20119118102WSep 5 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.8312711692V. Kucheriavyi1.831011511113LSep 5 · 08:05V. Mukhin1.571112113V. Kucheriavyi2.2561020LSep 5 · 06:05O. Stopin3.251181216113V. Kucheriavyi1.33911101852LAug 22 · 11:00V. Kucheriavyi1.61118871S. Semenets2.2051111113LAug 22 · 09:00S. Baranskyi2.2511119113V. Kucheriavyi1.57791161LAug 22 · 08:00V. Kucheriavyi2.0071070V. Kondratenko1.731112113WAug 22 · 07:00V. Stukalov1.73115991V. Kucheriavyi2.0051111113WAug 22 · 05:30V. Kucheriavyi1.53411612113V. Varchenko2.38117111092LAug 16 · 11:35V. Kucheriavyi1.4011511572M. Khalenko2.75311911113
S. Semenets10
LSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112WSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143LSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130WSep 5 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.4411126762S. Semenets2.639101111113LSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121LSep 4 · 15:00V. Mukhin1.401111912133S. Semenets2.75671114112WSep 4 · 14:00S. Semenets2.259111111113D. Khavanskyi1.5711135882WAug 22 · 11:00V. Kucheriavyi1.61118871S. Semenets2.2051111113
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