TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472256
Played Aug 22Finished
Serhii Baranskyi
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117119911116––
Vadym Kucheriavyi
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Baranskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Baranskyi above · Vadym Kucheriavyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 75 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Serhii Baranskyi at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Baranskyi 1–3 Vadym Kucheriavyi Serhii Baranskyi has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:27What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kucheriavyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Kucheriavyi
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Baranskyi 1267 vs Kucheriavyi 1271
Kucheriavyi
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baranskyi 40% vs Kucheriavyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baranskyi 40% vs Kucheriavyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Baranskyi -1 · Kucheriavyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kucheriavyi) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucheriavyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaranskyi 2.25 / Kucheriavyi 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Kucheriavyi)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472256
Baranskyi2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 8 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back15% 2 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Kucheriavyi1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite47% won 21 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it63% 12 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBaranskyi1wins
AwayKucheriavyi3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKucheriavyi leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBaranskyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKucheriavyi66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baranskyi1Kucheriavyi3n = 4Kucheriavyi took 3 of 4
S2Baranskyi3Kucheriavyi1n = 4Baranskyi took 3 of 4
S3Baranskyi0Kucheriavyi4n = 4Kucheriavyi took 4 of 4
S4Baranskyi1Kucheriavyi3n = 4Kucheriavyi took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away375%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricBaranskyiKucheriavyiB − KBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match38.240.5−2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBaranskyiKucheriavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 194 vs 49 / 11751.6%41.9%100 / 194 vs 49 / 117Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.135.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KucheriavyiBaranskyi 2.25/Kucheriavyi 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Kucheriavyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Baranskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 1 · 08:00S. Baranskyi—711511113V. Kucheriavyi—11311992
LJul 19 · 14:10S. Baranskyi—4117111V. Kucheriavyi—11411133
LJun 14 · 07:05S. Baranskyi—1111971V. Kucheriavyi—21311113
LJun 7 · 11:10S. Baranskyi—912881V. Kucheriavyi—111011113
S. Baranskyi10
WSep 6 · 18:30O. Leonenko1.9139111192S. Baranskyi1.80111164113WSep 6 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.918640S. Baranskyi1.801111113LSep 6 · 16:00B. Zaika1.7311811113S. Baranskyi2.00611391LSep 6 · 14:00K. Klymenko1.57714146103S. Baranskyi2.251112121172LSep 6 · 12:00V. Smyk1.5711911113S. Baranskyi2.25911361WAug 30 · 17:40M. Khalenko1.8310990S. Baranskyi1.831211113WAug 30 · 16:10S. Baranskyi2.5091111133K. Klymenko1.501189111WAug 30 · 12:10Y. Korotin2.251110111242S. Baranskyi1.57712314113WAug 30 · 11:10V. Stukalov2.00119261S. Baranskyi1.7381111113WAug 23 · 11:35V. Varchenko1.73491191S. Baranskyi2.0011116113
V. Kucheriavyi10
WSep 5 · 12:05V. Kucheriavyi1.61411411123V. Varchenko2.20119118102WSep 5 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.8312711692V. Kucheriavyi1.831011511113LSep 5 · 08:05V. Mukhin1.571112113V. Kucheriavyi2.2561020LSep 5 · 07:05V. Kucheriavyi1.831111361S. Semenets1.8313811113LSep 5 · 06:05O. Stopin3.251181216113V. Kucheriavyi1.33911101852LAug 22 · 11:00V. Kucheriavyi1.61118871S. Semenets2.2051111113LAug 22 · 08:00V. Kucheriavyi2.0071070V. Kondratenko1.731112113WAug 22 · 07:00V. Stukalov1.73115991V. Kucheriavyi2.0051111113WAug 22 · 05:30V. Kucheriavyi1.53411612113V. Varchenko2.38117111092LAug 16 · 11:35V. Kucheriavyi1.4011511572M. Khalenko2.75311911113
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