TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079134
Played Sep 5Finished
Vitalii Mukhin
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161210112––––
Vadym Kucheriavyi
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:25 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeVitalii Mukhin to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Mukhin above · Vadym Kucheriavyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 52 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Vitalii Mukhin at 62.9%
52 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Mukhin 5–1 Vadym Kucheriavyi Vadym Kucheriavyi has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:25What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Mukhin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Mukhin
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mukhin 1254 vs Kucheriavyi 1198
Mukhin
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mukhin 40% vs Kucheriavyi 0%
Mukhin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mukhin 60% vs Kucheriavyi 30%
Mukhin
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mukhin +1 · Kucheriavyi -5
Kucheriavyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Mukhin) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucheriavyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMukhin 1.57 / Kucheriavyi 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Mukhin)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13079134
Mukhin1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 94 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it96% 53 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it79% 70 of 89
Kucheriavyi2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 5 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back22% 2 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMukhin5wins
AwayKucheriavyi1wins
1 of 6 to a deciderMukhin leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMukhin100%3 of 3
AwayKucheriavyi33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mukhin3Kucheriavyi3n = 6split evenly
S2Mukhin5Kucheriavyi1n = 6Mukhin took 5 of 6
S3Mukhin6Kucheriavyi0n = 6Mukhin took 6 of 6
S4Mukhin3Kucheriavyi0n = 3Mukhin took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home350%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricMukhinKucheriavyiM − KBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match39.027.7+11.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMukhinKucheriavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 298 vs 47 / 11750.7%40.2%151 / 298 vs 47 / 117Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MukhinMukhin 1.57/Kucheriavyi 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Mukhin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mukhin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 5 · 08:05V. Mukhin—1112113V. Kucheriavyi—61020
WAug 16 · 09:35V. Mukhin—81111113V. Kucheriavyi—116791
LJul 19 · 15:10V. Mukhin—561311112V. Kucheriavyi—1111116133
WJun 14 · 08:05V. Mukhin—1111113V. Kucheriavyi—7660
WMay 23 · 09:00V. Mukhin—1111113V. Kucheriavyi—4250
WMay 9 · 09:00V. Mukhin—81117113V. Kucheriavyi—1161511
V. Mukhin10
WSep 5 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.361111113V. Stukalov3.009850WSep 5 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.201111113O. Stopin4.339760WSep 5 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.44911118113V. Varchenko2.6311641152LSep 5 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.4411126762S. Semenets2.639101111113LSep 4 · 18:00V. Mukhin2.6311119342Y. Korotin1.44981111113LSep 4 · 16:30V. Mukhin2.6386100S. Yakimenko1.441111123WSep 4 · 15:00V. Mukhin1.401111912133S. Semenets2.75671114112WSep 4 · 13:30V. Mukhin2.3811147113M. Khalenko1.535121151WSep 4 · 12:00V. Mukhin1.9151111113D. Khavanskyi1.80117591WAug 30 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.221112113O. Ponomarenko4.0011050
V. Kucheriavyi10
WSep 5 · 12:05V. Kucheriavyi1.61411411123V. Varchenko2.20119118102WSep 5 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.8312711692V. Kucheriavyi1.831011511113LSep 5 · 07:05V. Kucheriavyi1.831111361S. Semenets1.8313811113LSep 5 · 06:05O. Stopin3.251181216113V. Kucheriavyi1.33911101852LAug 22 · 11:00V. Kucheriavyi1.61118871S. Semenets2.2051111113LAug 22 · 09:00S. Baranskyi2.2511119113V. Kucheriavyi1.57791161LAug 22 · 08:00V. Kucheriavyi2.0071070V. Kondratenko1.731112113WAug 22 · 07:00V. Stukalov1.73115991V. Kucheriavyi2.0051111113WAug 22 · 05:30V. Kucheriavyi1.53411612113V. Varchenko2.38117111092LAug 16 · 11:35V. Kucheriavyi1.4011511572M. Khalenko2.75311911113
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