TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073614
Played Sep 4Finished
Vitalii Mukhin
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8116111012––––
Stefan Yakimenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 67.2% is still 67.2%
Graded at full timeStefan Yakimenko to win
67.2%
67.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Mukhin above · Stefan Yakimenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 58 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Stefan Yakimenko at 67.2%
58 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Mukhin 16–20 Stefan Yakimenko Vitalii Mukhin has won 16 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Yakimenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-20 in 36
Yakimenko
Correct
gap of 4 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mukhin 1243 vs Yakimenko 1333
Yakimenko
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mukhin 80% vs Yakimenko 0%
Mukhin
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mukhin 90% vs Yakimenko 20%
Mukhin
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mukhin +4 · Yakimenko -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Yakimenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yakimenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMukhin 2.63 / Yakimenko 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Yakimenko)+3.1pp
Setka Cup · #13073614
Mukhin2.63
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog26% won 20 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back13% 6 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Yakimenko1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 55 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMukhin1wins
AwayYakimenko9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderYakimenko leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMukhinn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayYakimenko100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mukhin1Yakimenko9n = 10Yakimenko took 9 of 10
S2Mukhin2Yakimenko8n = 10Yakimenko took 8 of 10
S3Mukhin1Yakimenko9n = 10Yakimenko took 9 of 10
S4Mukhin1Yakimenko2n = 3Yakimenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away770%
These 10 meetings
MetricMukhinYakimenkoM − YBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match27.037.1−10.1per matchSweeps07−73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMukhinYakimenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 295 vs 387 / 79050.5%49%149 / 295 vs 387 / 790Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YakimenkoMukhin 2.63/Yakimenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.6%
Yakimenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Yakimenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 16:30V. Mukhin—86100S. Yakimenko—1111123
LJul 17 · 07:20V. Mukhin—10610S. Yakimenko—1211113
LJul 16 · 19:20V. Mukhin—81111782S. Yakimenko—119811113
LJul 10 · 07:20V. Mukhin—6114121S. Yakimenko—11811143
LJul 9 · 19:20V. Mukhin—5770S. Yakimenko—1111113
LJul 4 · 07:20V. Mukhin—5740S. Yakimenko—1111113
LJul 3 · 19:20V. Mukhin—81060S. Yakimenko—1112113
LJun 30 · 08:50V. Mukhin—7670S. Yakimenko—1111113
LJun 29 · 17:50V. Mukhin—8890S. Yakimenko—1111113
WJun 26 · 08:20V. Mukhin—118611113S. Yakimenko—91111662
V. Mukhin10
WSep 5 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.361111113V. Stukalov3.009850WSep 5 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.201111113O. Stopin4.339760WSep 5 · 08:05V. Mukhin1.571112113V. Kucheriavyi2.2561020WSep 5 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.44911118113V. Varchenko2.6311641152LSep 5 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.4411126762S. Semenets2.639101111113LSep 4 · 18:00V. Mukhin2.6311119342Y. Korotin1.44981111113WSep 4 · 15:00V. Mukhin1.401111912133S. Semenets2.75671114112WSep 4 · 13:30V. Mukhin2.3811147113M. Khalenko1.535121151WSep 4 · 12:00V. Mukhin1.9151111113D. Khavanskyi1.80117591WAug 30 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.221112113O. Ponomarenko4.0011050
S. Yakimenko10
WSep 4 · 18:30S. Yakimenko1.671111113D. Khavanskyi2.105780LSep 4 · 15:30S. Yakimenko1.8311611552M. Khalenko1.83711911113LSep 4 · 14:30Y. Korotin3.50911811113S. Yakimenko1.2811911772LSep 4 · 13:00S. Yakimenko1.73711511122S. Semenets2.00115119143LSep 1 · 12:05S. Yakimenko1.737490S. Semenets2.001111113LSep 1 · 10:05V. Stukalov2.631111113S. Yakimenko1.448690WSep 1 · 08:05O. Miklukha3.001171112102S. Yakimenko1.36511614123LSep 1 · 07:05S. Yakimenko1.50115991D. Khavanskyi2.5041111113WSep 1 · 06:05V. Korniichuk2.75117127102S. Yakimenko1.408111011123LJul 16 · 12:20S. Yakimenko2.009420A. Kurtenko1.731111113
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