TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13054696
Played Sep 1Finished
Vitalii Korniichuk
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11871112107111012
Stefan Yakimenko
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:25 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeStefan Yakimenko to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Korniichuk above · Stefan Yakimenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 99 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Stefan Yakimenko at 66.3%
99 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Korniichuk 0–5 Stefan Yakimenko Vitalii Korniichuk has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:25What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Yakimenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Yakimenko
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korniichuk 1319 vs Yakimenko 1337
Yakimenko
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korniichuk 20% vs Yakimenko 0%
Korniichuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korniichuk 30% vs Yakimenko 0%
Korniichuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korniichuk -1 · Yakimenko -5
Yakimenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Yakimenko) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yakimenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorniichuk 2.75 / Yakimenko 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Yakimenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13054696
Korniichuk2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 28 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Yakimenko1.40
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 55 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKorniichuk0wins
AwayYakimenko5wins
2 of 5 to a deciderYakimenko leads 5–0, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorniichukn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayYakimenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korniichuk2Yakimenko3n = 5Yakimenko took 3 of 5
S2Korniichuk1Yakimenko4n = 5Yakimenko took 4 of 5
S3Korniichuk2Yakimenko3n = 5Yakimenko took 3 of 5
S4Korniichuk1Yakimenko3n = 4Yakimenko took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricKorniichukYakimenkoK − YBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match33.844.2−10.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorniichukYakimenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 495 vs 391 / 79555.2%49.2%273 / 495 vs 391 / 795Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YakimenkoKorniichuk 2.75/Yakimenko 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Yakimenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Yakimenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 1 · 06:05V. Korniichuk—117127102S. Yakimenko—8111011123
LMay 28 · 05:50V. Korniichuk—451371S. Yakimenko—111111113
LMay 11 · 09:50V. Korniichuk—4550S. Yakimenko—1111113
LMay 7 · 10:20V. Korniichuk—138681S. Yakimenko—111111113
LMay 4 · 05:50V. Korniichuk—811111132S. Yakimenko—115138113
V. Korniichuk10
WSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113WSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113WSep 3 · 10:05V. Korniichuk1.20111011113S. Osipov4.33712541WSep 3 · 09:05V. Korniichuk1.281111113M. Khalenko3.509970LSep 3 · 07:35V. Korniichuk1.3671111882V. Stukalov3.00119611113WSep 3 · 05:35V. Korniichuk1.611251011123S. Semenets2.201011123102LSep 1 · 11:35V. Korniichuk1.61111411682D. Khavanskyi2.20716911113WSep 1 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.63711111062V. Korniichuk1.44117912113LSep 1 · 08:35V. Korniichuk1.5311791182S. Semenets2.38911119113
S. Yakimenko10
WSep 4 · 18:30S. Yakimenko1.671111113D. Khavanskyi2.105780WSep 4 · 16:30V. Mukhin2.6386100S. Yakimenko1.441111123LSep 4 · 15:30S. Yakimenko1.8311611552M. Khalenko1.83711911113LSep 4 · 14:30Y. Korotin3.50911811113S. Yakimenko1.2811911772LSep 4 · 13:00S. Yakimenko1.73711511122S. Semenets2.00115119143LSep 1 · 12:05S. Yakimenko1.737490S. Semenets2.001111113LSep 1 · 10:05V. Stukalov2.631111113S. Yakimenko1.448690WSep 1 · 08:05O. Miklukha3.001171112102S. Yakimenko1.36511614123LSep 1 · 07:05S. Yakimenko1.50115991D. Khavanskyi2.5041111113LJul 16 · 12:20S. Yakimenko2.009420A. Kurtenko1.731111113
Upcoming Matches
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