TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12234063
Played Jul 16Finished
Stefan Yakimenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911411211––––
Andrii Kurtenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingStefan Yakimenko above · Andrii Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 48 set 3, 2-11
48 points played in total.
H2H Stefan Yakimenko 23–32 Andrii Kurtenko Stefan Yakimenko has won 23 of their 55 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kurtenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yakimenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYakimenko 2.00 / Kurtenko 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kurtenko)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12234063
Yakimenko2.00
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 119 of 254
Down 0–1, comes back24% 30 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back11% 8 of 73
Kurtenko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 148 of 256
Up 2–0, closes it89% 90 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it78% 117 of 150
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYakimenko6wins
AwayKurtenko4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderYakimenko leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYakimenko50%2 of 4
AwayKurtenko33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yakimenko4Kurtenko6n = 10Kurtenko took 6 of 10
S2Yakimenko5Kurtenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Yakimenko6Kurtenko4n = 10Yakimenko took 6 of 10
S4Yakimenko5Kurtenko2n = 7Yakimenko took 5 of 7
S5Yakimenko3Kurtenko2n = 5Yakimenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricYakimenkoKurtenkoY − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.239.8+1.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYakimenkoKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime451 / 895 vs 292 / 55850.4%52.3%451 / 895 vs 292 / 558Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurtenkoYakimenko 2.00/Kurtenko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.7%
Kurtenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 15 · 05:05S. Yakimenko—135261A. Kurtenko—111111113
WMay 31 · 19:20S. Yakimenko—1571111113A. Kurtenko—17118552
WMay 27 · 21:20S. Yakimenko—671311113A. Kurtenko—111111692
WMay 25 · 10:50S. Yakimenko—101113113A. Kurtenko—1251181
WMay 24 · 18:20S. Yakimenko—1111113A. Kurtenko—9750
WMay 21 · 07:20S. Yakimenko—1111113A. Kurtenko—6970
LMay 20 · 17:20S. Yakimenko—8570A. Kurtenko—1111113
LMay 18 · 10:05S. Yakimenko—11111110102A. Kurtenko—981312123
WMay 17 · 15:20S. Yakimenko—941111133A. Kurtenko—111166112
LMay 13 · 18:20S. Yakimenko—5111211122A. Kurtenko—117143143
S. Yakimenko10
WSep 4 · 18:30S. Yakimenko1.671111113D. Khavanskyi2.105780WSep 4 · 16:30V. Mukhin2.6386100S. Yakimenko1.441111123LSep 4 · 15:30S. Yakimenko1.8311611552M. Khalenko1.83711911113LSep 4 · 14:30Y. Korotin3.50911811113S. Yakimenko1.2811911772LSep 4 · 13:00S. Yakimenko1.73711511122S. Semenets2.00115119143LSep 1 · 12:05S. Yakimenko1.737490S. Semenets2.001111113LSep 1 · 10:05V. Stukalov2.631111113S. Yakimenko1.448690WSep 1 · 08:05O. Miklukha3.001171112102S. Yakimenko1.36511614123LSep 1 · 07:05S. Yakimenko1.50115991D. Khavanskyi2.5041111113WSep 1 · 06:05V. Korniichuk2.75117127102S. Yakimenko1.408111011123
A. Kurtenko10
WSep 5 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8311119113V. Smyk1.83471141WSep 5 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.571171163D. Patalakha2.25911621LSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LSep 5 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.831112651S. Solomko1.83131011113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113LSep 3 · 11:30A. Kurtenko1.807111131S. Solomko1.9111110153LSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561LSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:30A. Kurtenko1.911111133E. Populovskyi1.8058110LSep 3 · 05:30D. Khairov1.40111313113A. Kurtenko2.753151151
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