TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079282
Played Sep 5Finished
Andrii Kurtenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811511121057––
Oleksandr Tymofeev
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Tymofeev to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Kurtenko above · Oleksandr Tymofeev below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 5-7
Point 69 set 4, 5-7 — our read held Oleksandr Tymofeev at 55.8%
69 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kurtenko 2–0 Oleksandr Tymofeev Oleksandr Tymofeev has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Tymofeev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1409 vs Tymofeev 1424
Tymofeev
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 0% vs Tymofeev 20%
Tymofeev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 30% vs Tymofeev 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko -5 · Tymofeev -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Tymofeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tymofeev form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 2.10 / Tymofeev 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Tymofeev)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13079282
Kurtenko2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 66 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back18% 13 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42
Tymofeev1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 89 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it89% 64 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKurtenko2wins
AwayTymofeev0wins
2 of 2 to a deciderKurtenko leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home2
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKurtenkoTymofeevK − TBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match48.047.5+0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoTymofeevBasisWin rate · lifetime337 / 644 vs 271 / 52652.3%51.5%337 / 644 vs 271 / 526Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TymofeevKurtenko 2.10/Tymofeev 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Tymofeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tymofeev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 16 · 09:20A. Kurtenko—211118113O. Tymofeev—11891192
WAug 9 · 05:50A. Kurtenko—1091112113O. Tymofeev—121191052
A. Kurtenko10
WSep 5 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8311119113V. Smyk1.83471141WSep 5 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.571171163D. Patalakha2.25911621LSep 5 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.831112651S. Solomko1.83131011113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113LSep 3 · 11:30A. Kurtenko1.807111131S. Solomko1.9111110153LSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561LSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:30A. Kurtenko1.911111133E. Populovskyi1.8058110LSep 3 · 05:30D. Khairov1.40111313113A. Kurtenko2.753151151LSep 2 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.7311711123A. Kurtenko2.006115101
O. Tymofeev10
WSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 17:00V. Smyk2.501111113O. Tymofeev1.506770LSep 5 · 13:00D. Patalakha3.50111149123O. Tymofeev1.28191111102LAug 30 · 12:50O. Tymofeev1.4071111872S. Solomko2.75116611113LAug 30 · 10:50D. Khairov1.73711127123O. Tymofeev2.001151011102LAug 30 · 08:50O. Osadchyi1.801111113O. Tymofeev1.919980WAug 30 · 07:50O. Tymofeev2.2011119113E. Populovskyi1.61591171LAug 30 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko1.8061111123O. Tymofeev1.911189101WAug 29 · 19:00E. Populovskyi2.2078111132O. Tymofeev1.61111169113LAug 29 · 17:30O. Tymofeev1.80431171O. Osadchyi1.911111883
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