TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037586
Played Aug 29Finished
Oleksandr Tymofeev
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
41131111878––
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Tymofeev to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Tymofeev above · Oleksandr Osadchyi below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-8
Point 63 set 4, 7-8 — our read held Oleksandr Tymofeev at 54.0%
63 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Tymofeev 6–5 Oleksandr Osadchyi Oleksandr Osadchyi has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:23What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Tymofeev
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tymofeev 1498 vs Osadchyi 1530
Osadchyi
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tymofeev 60% vs Osadchyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tymofeev 50% vs Osadchyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tymofeev +1 · Osadchyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tymofeev)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTymofeev 1.80 / Osadchyi 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tymofeev)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13037586
Tymofeev1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 87 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it89% 62 of 70
Osadchyi1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 114 of 260
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTymofeev6wins
AwayOsadchyi4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTymofeev leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTymofeev66.7%4 of 6
AwayOsadchyi50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tymofeev6Osadchyi4n = 10Tymofeev took 6 of 10
S2Tymofeev7Osadchyi3n = 10Tymofeev took 7 of 10
S3Tymofeev7Osadchyi3n = 10Tymofeev took 7 of 10
S4Tymofeev2Osadchyi4n = 6Osadchyi took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTymofeevOsadchyiT − OBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.633.6+4.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTymofeevOsadchyiBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 529 vs 433 / 85451.8%50.7%274 / 529 vs 433 / 854Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TymofeevTymofeev 1.80/Osadchyi 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Tymofeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Osadchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 07:00O. Tymofeev—1111113O. Osadchyi—7360
LAug 16 · 06:50O. Tymofeev—77111382O. Osadchyi—1111711113
WAug 15 · 16:30O. Tymofeev—1115113O. Osadchyi—71340
LAug 9 · 10:20O. Tymofeev—911361O. Osadchyi—11911113
WAug 8 · 15:30O. Tymofeev—1111113O. Osadchyi—7960
WAug 2 · 07:00O. Tymofeev—511124113O. Osadchyi—115101122
WJul 28 · 12:40O. Tymofeev—1111143O. Osadchyi—67120
LJul 26 · 10:50O. Tymofeev—1458121O. Osadchyi—121111143
LJul 21 · 15:40O. Tymofeev—11101071O. Osadchyi—81212113
WJul 19 · 09:50O. Tymofeev—91111113O. Osadchyi—115551
O. Tymofeev10
WSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 17:00V. Smyk2.501111113O. Tymofeev1.506770WSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LSep 5 · 13:00D. Patalakha3.50111149123O. Tymofeev1.28191111102LAug 30 · 12:50O. Tymofeev1.4071111872S. Solomko2.75116611113LAug 30 · 10:50D. Khairov1.73711127123O. Tymofeev2.001151011102LAug 30 · 08:50O. Osadchyi1.801111113O. Tymofeev1.919980WAug 30 · 07:50O. Tymofeev2.2011119113E. Populovskyi1.61591171LAug 30 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko1.8061111123O. Tymofeev1.911189101WAug 29 · 19:00E. Populovskyi2.2078111132O. Tymofeev1.61111169113
O. Osadchyi10
LSep 7 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.8361481182D. Khairov1.831112116113LSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113LSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:00O. Osadchyi2.2012511113S. Solomko1.611011731WSep 3 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.30119118113E. Populovskyi3.4031161172WAug 30 · 08:50O. Osadchyi1.801111113O. Tymofeev1.919980
Upcoming Matches
O. Tymofeev
Nothing scheduled
O. Osadchyi
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.