TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089022
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181161012811311
Serhii Solomko
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:44 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 91 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 59.3%
91 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 63–93 Serhii Solomko Oleksandr Osadchyi has won 63 of their 156 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:44What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Solomko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
63-93 in 156
Solomko
Correct
gap of 30 in 156, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1544 vs Solomko 1523
Osadchyi
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 40% vs Solomko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 70% vs Solomko 40%
Osadchyi
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi -1 · Solomko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Solomko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 2.25 / Solomko 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Solomko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13089022
Osadchyi2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 110 of 254
Down 0–1, comes back21% 27 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 76
Solomko1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 131 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it92% 65 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it80% 93 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOsadchyi4wins
AwaySolomko6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsadchyi40%2 of 5
AwaySolomko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S2Osadchyi4Solomko6n = 10Solomko took 6 of 10
S3Osadchyi5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S4Osadchyi3Solomko5n = 8Solomko took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOsadchyiSolomkoO − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.236.7−1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime437 / 858 vs 525 / 102650.9%51.2%437 / 858 vs 525 / 1026Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoOsadchyi 2.25/Solomko 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi—111110832S. Solomko—861211113
WSep 3 · 06:00O. Osadchyi—12511113S. Solomko—1011731
LSep 2 · 06:35O. Osadchyi—114731S. Solomko—21111113
WAug 30 · 07:20O. Osadchyi—91111113S. Solomko—119551
LAug 29 · 12:00O. Osadchyi—118961S. Solomko—91111113
LAug 27 · 06:35O. Osadchyi—9111181S. Solomko—11138113
LAug 24 · 08:30O. Osadchyi—10320S. Solomko—1211113
WAug 5 · 11:05O. Osadchyi—1191111113S. Solomko—13118992
WAug 2 · 05:00O. Osadchyi—1111113S. Solomko—3850
LAug 1 · 18:30O. Osadchyi—1011621S. Solomko—12411113
O. Osadchyi10
LSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113LSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:00O. Osadchyi2.2012511113S. Solomko1.611011731WSep 3 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.30119118113E. Populovskyi3.4031161172WSep 2 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.7311711123A. Kurtenko2.006115101WSep 2 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.3811115113S. Hryhorenko1.53491141WSep 2 · 08:05O. Osadchyi1.731111113O. Lipeiko2.003730
S. Solomko10
LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880WSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393WSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113WSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113LSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113LSep 3 · 06:00O. Osadchyi2.2012511113S. Solomko1.611011731
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.