TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060529
Played Sep 2Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114119511114––
Stepan Hryhorenko
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:45 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeStepan Hryhorenko to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Stepan Hryhorenko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 66 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Stepan Hryhorenko at 60.8%
66 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 0–1 Stepan Hryhorenko Oleksandr Osadchyi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:45What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hryhorenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1543 vs Hryhorenko 1525
Osadchyi
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 60% vs Hryhorenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 60% vs Hryhorenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi +1 · Hryhorenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Hryhorenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osadchyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 2.38 / Hryhorenko 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Hryhorenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13060529
Osadchyi2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 112 of 256
Down 0–1, comes back23% 29 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 78
Hryhorenko1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite50% won 22 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it64% 16 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOsadchyi0wins
AwayHryhorenko1wins
Hryhorenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricOsadchyiHryhorenkoO − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match15.033.0−18.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiHryhorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime435 / 857 vs 50 / 13150.8%38.2%435 / 857 vs 50 / 131Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.334.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HryhorenkoOsadchyi 2.38/Hryhorenko 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Hryhorenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Osadchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 30 · 10:20O. Osadchyi—7620S. Hryhorenko—1111113
O. Osadchyi10
LSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113LSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:00O. Osadchyi2.2012511113S. Solomko1.611011731WSep 3 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.30119118113E. Populovskyi3.4031161172WSep 2 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.7311711123A. Kurtenko2.006115101WSep 2 · 08:05O. Osadchyi1.731111113O. Lipeiko2.003730
S. Hryhorenko10
LSep 2 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko1.73111110792E. Populovskyi2.00751211113LSep 2 · 08:35S. Hryhorenko1.61911791S. Solomko2.2011711113WSep 2 · 07:35A. Kurtenko2.209650S. Hryhorenko1.611111113WSep 2 · 06:05S. Hryhorenko1.531111113O. Lipeiko2.386690LAug 30 · 12:20S. Hryhorenko1.73881161E. Populovskyi2.0011117113WAug 30 · 10:20O. Osadchyi1.837620S. Hryhorenko1.831111113WAug 30 · 09:20S. Hryhorenko1.611281111113S. Solomko2.2014114782WAug 30 · 08:20D. Khairov1.80111110342S. Hryhorenko1.91391211113WAug 30 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko1.8061111123O. Tymofeev1.911189101LAug 17 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.441111113S. Hryhorenko2.638840
Upcoming Matches
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