TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12445175
Played Aug 17Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118114––––
Stepan Hryhorenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:08 and never touched — 67.8% is still 67.8%
Graded at full timeYurii Volkov to win
67.8%
67.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Stepan Hryhorenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 53 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Yurii Volkov at 67.8%
53 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 8–7 Stepan Hryhorenko Stepan Hryhorenko has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:08What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Volkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1695 vs Hryhorenko 1487
Volkov
Correct
both rated, 209 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 40% vs Hryhorenko 20%
Volkov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 60% vs Hryhorenko 30%
Volkov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov +1 · Hryhorenko -3
Hryhorenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Volkov) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hryhorenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 1.44 / Hryhorenko 2.63
Signal prob.72% / 29%
Edge (Volkov)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12445175
Volkov1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 151 of 236
Up 2–0, closes it95% 78 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it84% 111 of 133
Hryhorenko2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog31% won 24 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back15% 7 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolkov6wins
AwayHryhorenko4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVolkov leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov100%4 of 4
AwayHryhorenko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov4Hryhorenko6n = 10Hryhorenko took 6 of 10
S2Volkov8Hryhorenko2n = 10Volkov took 8 of 10
S3Volkov4Hryhorenko6n = 10Hryhorenko took 6 of 10
S4Volkov3Hryhorenko4n = 7Hryhorenko took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolkovHryhorenkoV − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.034.3+1.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovHryhorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime423 / 786 vs 44 / 12253.8%36.1%423 / 786 vs 44 / 122Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.434.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolkovVolkov 1.44/Hryhorenko 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.5%
Volkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Volkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 15 · 09:35Y. Volkov—1111123S. Hryhorenko—16100
LAug 10 · 06:05Y. Volkov—911561S. Hryhorenko—11911113
WAug 7 · 11:35Y. Volkov—1211811113S. Hryhorenko—14911842
WAug 3 · 09:35Y. Volkov—11117113S. Hryhorenko—351161
WAug 1 · 11:35Y. Volkov—1181343S. Hryhorenko—9111121
WJul 31 · 08:35Y. Volkov—611119123S. Hryhorenko—118211102
LJul 28 · 09:35Y. Volkov—6190S. Hryhorenko—1111113
LJul 27 · 06:05Y. Volkov—8111291S. Hryhorenko—11814113
WJul 24 · 09:35Y. Volkov—1111113S. Hryhorenko—6580
LJul 21 · 08:35Y. Volkov—811361S. Hryhorenko—11911113
Y. Volkov10
LSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123WSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170LSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113WSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.679111111113Y. Kovshun2.1011136912LSep 4 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.2011381192R. Sopivnyk1.61611114113LSep 4 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.6112811752A. Troyan2.201011811113LSep 4 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.3691211872O. Karpenko3.001110211113
S. Hryhorenko10
LSep 2 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko1.73111110792E. Populovskyi2.00751211113LSep 2 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.3811115113S. Hryhorenko1.53491141LSep 2 · 08:35S. Hryhorenko1.61911791S. Solomko2.2011711113WSep 2 · 07:35A. Kurtenko2.209650S. Hryhorenko1.611111113WSep 2 · 06:05S. Hryhorenko1.531111113O. Lipeiko2.386690LAug 30 · 12:20S. Hryhorenko1.73881161E. Populovskyi2.0011117113WAug 30 · 10:20O. Osadchyi1.837620S. Hryhorenko1.831111113WAug 30 · 09:20S. Hryhorenko1.611281111113S. Solomko2.2014114782WAug 30 · 08:20D. Khairov1.80111110342S. Hryhorenko1.91391211113WAug 30 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko1.8061111123O. Tymofeev1.911189101
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