TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060532
Played Sep 2Finished
Stepan Hryhorenko
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116116119––––
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:45 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeStepan Hryhorenko to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStepan Hryhorenko above · Oleksandr Lipeiko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 54 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Stepan Hryhorenko at 63.6%
54 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Hryhorenko 3–0 Oleksandr Lipeiko Oleksandr Lipeiko has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:45What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hryhorenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Hryhorenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hryhorenko 1500 vs Lipeiko 1390
Hryhorenko
Correct
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hryhorenko 80% vs Lipeiko 20%
Hryhorenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hryhorenko 50% vs Lipeiko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hryhorenko -1 · Lipeiko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Hryhorenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lipeiko form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHryhorenko 1.53 / Lipeiko 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Hryhorenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13060532
Hryhorenko1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite49% won 24 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it76% 16 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it64% 18 of 28
Lipeiko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 55 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back27% 19 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHryhorenko3wins
AwayLipeiko0wins
Hryhorenko leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHryhorenko100%3 of 3
AwayLipeikon = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hryhorenko3Lipeiko0n = 3Hryhorenko took 3 of 3
S2Hryhorenko3Lipeiko0n = 3Hryhorenko took 3 of 3
S3Hryhorenko2Lipeiko1n = 3Hryhorenko took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricHryhorenkoLipeikoH − LBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match37.326.3+11.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHryhorenkoLipeikoBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 133 vs 242 / 50337.6%48.1%50 / 133 vs 242 / 503Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HryhorenkoHryhorenko 1.53/Lipeiko 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Hryhorenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hryhorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 2 · 06:05S. Hryhorenko—1111113O. Lipeiko—6690
WAug 14 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko—111111113O. Lipeiko—541381
WJul 28 · 06:05S. Hryhorenko—1211123O. Lipeiko—108100
S. Hryhorenko10
LSep 2 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko1.73111110792E. Populovskyi2.00751211113LSep 2 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.3811115113S. Hryhorenko1.53491141LSep 2 · 08:35S. Hryhorenko1.61911791S. Solomko2.2011711113WSep 2 · 07:35A. Kurtenko2.209650S. Hryhorenko1.611111113LAug 30 · 12:20S. Hryhorenko1.73881161E. Populovskyi2.0011117113WAug 30 · 10:20O. Osadchyi1.837620S. Hryhorenko1.831111113WAug 30 · 09:20S. Hryhorenko1.611281111113S. Solomko2.2014114782WAug 30 · 08:20D. Khairov1.80111110342S. Hryhorenko1.91391211113WAug 30 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko1.8061111123O. Tymofeev1.911189101LAug 17 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.441111113S. Hryhorenko2.638840
O. Lipeiko10
LSep 7 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.508460O. Shyshman1.501111113LSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 10:20D. Patalakha1.73291111113O. Lipeiko2.0011117652WSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 08:20E. Populovskyi2.202390O. Lipeiko1.611111113LSep 6 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.83109100A. Kovalenko1.831211123LSep 2 · 12:05O. Lipeiko1.83111011852S. Solomko1.83812711113LSep 2 · 10:05A. Kurtenko1.8091111113O. Lipeiko1.91119861LSep 2 · 08:05O. Osadchyi1.731111113O. Lipeiko2.003730LSep 2 · 07:05O. Lipeiko1.5315413372E. Populovskyi2.3813111111113
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