TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060605
Played Sep 2Finished
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181012117811511
Serhii Solomko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Lipeiko above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 94 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Lipeiko 6–8 Serhii Solomko Oleksandr Lipeiko has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Solomko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Solomko
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lipeiko 1395 vs Solomko 1581
Solomko
Correct
both rated, 186 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lipeiko 0% vs Solomko 100%
Solomko
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lipeiko 20% vs Solomko 80%
Solomko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lipeiko -5 · Solomko +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Solomko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLipeiko 1.83 / Solomko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Solomko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13060605
Lipeiko1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Solomko1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLipeiko4wins
AwaySolomko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLipeiko42.9%3 of 7
AwaySolomko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lipeiko7Solomko3n = 10Lipeiko took 7 of 10
S2Lipeiko4Solomko6n = 10Solomko took 6 of 10
S3Lipeiko5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S4Lipeiko2Solomko6n = 8Solomko took 6 of 8
S5Lipeiko1Solomko2n = 3Solomko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLipeikoSolomkoL − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.341.3−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLipeikoSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 502 vs 519 / 101748.2%51%242 / 502 vs 519 / 1017Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoLipeiko 1.83/Solomko 1.83
Hit
What we said
54%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 17 · 10:05O. Lipeiko—119931S. Solomko—91111113
WJul 25 · 14:00O. Lipeiko—131110133S. Solomko—11712111
WJul 23 · 06:05O. Lipeiko—814114113S. Solomko—111271192
LJul 17 · 06:05O. Lipeiko—138119102S. Solomko—1111411123
WJul 14 · 05:30O. Lipeiko—11116113S. Solomko—451171
LJun 28 · 12:50O. Lipeiko—10512131S. Solomko—121110153
LMay 31 · 12:20O. Lipeiko—1114111052S. Solomko—916612113
LMay 17 · 12:50O. Lipeiko—55140S. Solomko—1111163
LMay 14 · 08:00O. Lipeiko—1171281S. Solomko—71114113
WApr 30 · 11:00O. Lipeiko—1111113S. Solomko—6870
O. Lipeiko10
LSep 7 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.508460O. Shyshman1.501111113LSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 10:20D. Patalakha1.73291111113O. Lipeiko2.0011117652WSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 08:20E. Populovskyi2.202390O. Lipeiko1.611111113LSep 6 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.83109100A. Kovalenko1.831211123LSep 2 · 10:05A. Kurtenko1.8091111113O. Lipeiko1.91119861LSep 2 · 08:05O. Osadchyi1.731111113O. Lipeiko2.003730LSep 2 · 07:05O. Lipeiko1.5315413372E. Populovskyi2.3813111111113LSep 2 · 06:05S. Hryhorenko1.531111113O. Lipeiko2.386690
S. Solomko10
LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880WSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393WSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113WSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113LSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113LSep 5 · 15:30D. Patalakha1.8311112S. Solomko1.83690
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