TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079191
Played Sep 5Finished
Serhii Solomko
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711911––––
Fedir Voinarovskyi
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Solomko above · Fedir Voinarovskyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Solomko 8–12 Fedir Voinarovskyi Serhii Solomko has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:32What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Voinarovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-12 in 20
Voinarovskyi
Correct
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Solomko 1524 vs Voinarovskyi 1470
Solomko
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solomko 60% vs Voinarovskyi 40%
Solomko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solomko 60% vs Voinarovskyi 30%
Solomko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Solomko -1 · Voinarovskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Solomko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Voinarovskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolomko 1.91 / Voinarovskyi 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Solomko)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13079191
Solomko1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 133 of 277
Down 0–1, comes back25% 38 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 85
Voinarovskyi1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 44 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it89% 33 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it73% 37 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSolomko4wins
AwayVoinarovskyi6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVoinarovskyi leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSolomko66.7%2 of 3
AwayVoinarovskyi71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Solomko3Voinarovskyi7n = 10Voinarovskyi took 7 of 10
S2Solomko2Voinarovskyi8n = 10Voinarovskyi took 8 of 10
S3Solomko4Voinarovskyi6n = 10Voinarovskyi took 6 of 10
S4Solomko5Voinarovskyi2n = 7Solomko took 5 of 7
S5Solomko2Voinarovskyi1n = 3Solomko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSolomkoVoinarovskyiS − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.740.0−6.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSolomkoVoinarovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime520 / 1018 vs 175 / 34451.1%50.9%520 / 1018 vs 175 / 344Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoSolomko 1.91/Voinarovskyi 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Voinarovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko—9790F. Voinarovskyi—1111113
WAug 29 · 18:00S. Solomko—111011113F. Voinarovskyi—612691
WAug 6 · 08:05S. Solomko—911413123F. Voinarovskyi—1151111102
LAug 5 · 06:35S. Solomko—11841142F. Voinarovskyi—811119113
LAug 4 · 16:10S. Solomko—81250F. Voinarovskyi—1114113
WJul 1 · 05:30S. Solomko—631211113F. Voinarovskyi—111110582
LJun 23 · 16:10S. Solomko—941181F. Voinarovskyi—11119113
LJun 10 · 06:35S. Solomko—612751F. Voinarovskyi—111011113
LJun 3 · 05:30S. Solomko—3640F. Voinarovskyi—1111113
WMay 4 · 08:00S. Solomko—11611113F. Voinarovskyi—911981
S. Solomko10
LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880WSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393WSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113WSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113LSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 15:30D. Patalakha1.8311112S. Solomko1.83690WSep 5 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.831112651S. Solomko1.83131011113
F. Voinarovskyi10
LSep 5 · 18:30D. Patalakha1.73121011113F. Voinarovskyi2.001012591LSep 5 · 16:00V. Smyk1.8311115113F. Voinarovskyi1.83771121WSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113LAug 29 · 18:00S. Solomko2.10111011113F. Voinarovskyi1.67612691WAug 29 · 17:00F. Voinarovskyi1.831111123E. Populovskyi1.8353100LAug 29 · 16:00F. Voinarovskyi2.00610100O. Osadchyi1.731112123LAug 29 · 14:30F. Voinarovskyi3.006113111A. Martyniuk1.3611711133LAug 29 · 12:30F. Voinarovskyi3.4091450O. Tymofeev1.30111683WAug 27 · 12:50F. Voinarovskyi3.001311113E. Populovskyi1.3611370LAug 27 · 10:50S. Skhabitskiy1.9111911123F. Voinarovskyi1.805116101
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