TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037818
Played Aug 29Finished
Fedir Voinarovskyi
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111173111113––
Andrii Martyniuk
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:21 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeAndrii Martyniuk to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFedir Voinarovskyi above · Andrii Martyniuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 73 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Andrii Martyniuk at 71.6%
73 points played in total.
H2H Fedir Voinarovskyi 0–3 Andrii Martyniuk Fedir Voinarovskyi has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:21What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Martyniuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Martyniuk
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voinarovskyi 1464 vs Martyniuk 1496
Martyniuk
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voinarovskyi 60% vs Martyniuk 20%
Voinarovskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voinarovskyi 40% vs Martyniuk 60%
Martyniuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Voinarovskyi +1 · Martyniuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Martyniuk) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martyniuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoinarovskyi 3.00 / Martyniuk 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Martyniuk)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13037818
Voinarovskyi3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 29 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 24
Martyniuk1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 53 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it91% 32 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it68% 39 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVoinarovskyi0wins
AwayMartyniuk3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderMartyniuk leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoinarovskyin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayMartyniuk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voinarovskyi0Martyniuk3n = 3Martyniuk took 3 of 3
S2Voinarovskyi1Martyniuk2n = 3Martyniuk took 2 of 3
S3Voinarovskyi0Martyniuk3n = 3Martyniuk took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricVoinarovskyiMartyniukV − MBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match28.736.0−7.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoinarovskyiMartyniukBasisWin rate · lifetime173 / 336 vs 160 / 31151.5%51.5%173 / 336 vs 160 / 311Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartyniukVoinarovskyi 3.00/Martyniuk 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.6%
Martyniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Martyniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 5 · 08:35F. Voinarovskyi—81191172A. Martyniuk—115114113
LAug 4 · 17:10F. Voinarovskyi—5980A. Martyniuk—1111113
LFeb 27 · 07:35F. Voinarovskyi—5760A. Martyniuk—1111113
F. Voinarovskyi10
LSep 5 · 18:30D. Patalakha1.73121011113F. Voinarovskyi2.001012591WSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Smyk1.8311115113F. Voinarovskyi1.83771121WSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113LAug 29 · 18:00S. Solomko2.10111011113F. Voinarovskyi1.67612691WAug 29 · 17:00F. Voinarovskyi1.831111123E. Populovskyi1.8353100LAug 29 · 16:00F. Voinarovskyi2.00610100O. Osadchyi1.731112123LAug 29 · 12:30F. Voinarovskyi3.4091450O. Tymofeev1.30111683WAug 27 · 12:50F. Voinarovskyi3.001311113E. Populovskyi1.3611370LAug 27 · 10:50S. Skhabitskiy1.9111911123F. Voinarovskyi1.805116101
A. Martyniuk10
WSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113LSep 7 · 05:35O. Leonenko1.91111155113A. Martyniuk1.8089111152LAug 31 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.73913912112S. Solomko2.0011111110133WAug 31 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy3.2512311762A. Martyniuk1.331011911113LAug 31 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.67101111113A. Martyniuk2.10127861WAug 31 · 07:05A. Martyniuk1.361111812113E. Populovskyi3.0066111472LAug 31 · 06:05A. Kovalenko2.63611612113A. Martyniuk1.44117111052WAug 29 · 18:30A. Martyniuk1.2531111113O. Osadchyi3.75117881LAug 29 · 16:30S. Solomko2.1081611123A. Martyniuk1.6711149101LAug 29 · 15:30A. Martyniuk1.53991151O. Tymofeev2.3811119113
Upcoming Matches
F. Voinarovskyi
Nothing scheduled
A. Martyniuk
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