TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037505
Played Aug 29Finished
Fedir Voinarovskyi
Home
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911141658––––
Oleksandr Tymofeev
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:42 and never touched — 73.1% is still 73.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Tymofeev to win
73.1%
73.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFedir Voinarovskyi above · Oleksandr Tymofeev below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 5-8
Point 63 set 3, 5-8 — our read held Oleksandr Tymofeev at 73.1%
63 points played in total.
H2H Fedir Voinarovskyi 0–4 Oleksandr Tymofeev Fedir Voinarovskyi has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:42What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Tymofeev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Tymofeev
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voinarovskyi 1445 vs Tymofeev 1483
Tymofeev
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voinarovskyi 60% vs Tymofeev 40%
Voinarovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voinarovskyi 40% vs Tymofeev 60%
Tymofeev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Voinarovskyi +1 · Tymofeev +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Tymofeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tymofeev form (40%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoinarovskyi 3.40 / Tymofeev 1.30
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Tymofeev)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13037505
Voinarovskyi3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 29 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 24
Tymofeev1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite73% won 87 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it89% 62 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVoinarovskyi0wins
AwayTymofeev4wins
Tymofeev leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoinarovskyin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayTymofeev100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voinarovskyi0Tymofeev4n = 4Tymofeev took 4 of 4
S2Voinarovskyi0Tymofeev4n = 4Tymofeev took 4 of 4
S3Voinarovskyi2Tymofeev2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricVoinarovskyiTymofeevV − TBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match29.039.2−10.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoinarovskyiTymofeevBasisWin rate · lifetime173 / 338 vs 275 / 53151.2%51.8%173 / 338 vs 275 / 531Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TymofeevVoinarovskyi 3.40/Tymofeev 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Tymofeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tymofeev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 13 · 14:00F. Voinarovskyi—7470O. Tymofeev—1111113
LAug 11 · 17:40F. Voinarovskyi—1191171O. Tymofeev—13117113
LAug 4 · 12:40F. Voinarovskyi—71560O. Tymofeev—1117113
LFeb 12 · 15:10F. Voinarovskyi—3101181O. Tymofeev—11129113
F. Voinarovskyi10
LSep 5 · 18:30D. Patalakha1.73121011113F. Voinarovskyi2.001012591WSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Smyk1.8311115113F. Voinarovskyi1.83771121WSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113LAug 29 · 18:00S. Solomko2.10111011113F. Voinarovskyi1.67612691WAug 29 · 17:00F. Voinarovskyi1.831111123E. Populovskyi1.8353100LAug 29 · 16:00F. Voinarovskyi2.00610100O. Osadchyi1.731112123LAug 29 · 14:30F. Voinarovskyi3.006113111A. Martyniuk1.3611711133WAug 27 · 12:50F. Voinarovskyi3.001311113E. Populovskyi1.3611370LAug 27 · 10:50S. Skhabitskiy1.9111911123F. Voinarovskyi1.805116101
O. Tymofeev10
WSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 17:00V. Smyk2.501111113O. Tymofeev1.506770WSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LSep 5 · 13:00D. Patalakha3.50111149123O. Tymofeev1.28191111102LAug 30 · 12:50O. Tymofeev1.4071111872S. Solomko2.75116611113LAug 30 · 10:50D. Khairov1.73711127123O. Tymofeev2.001151011102LAug 30 · 08:50O. Osadchyi1.801111113O. Tymofeev1.919980WAug 30 · 07:50O. Tymofeev2.2011119113E. Populovskyi1.61591171LAug 30 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko1.8061111123O. Tymofeev1.911189101WAug 29 · 19:00E. Populovskyi2.2078111132O. Tymofeev1.61111169113
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