TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079067
Played Sep 5Finished
Andrii Kurtenko
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1163118111210711
Fedir Voinarovskyi
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:09 and never touched — 71.9% is still 71.9%
Graded at full timeFedir Voinarovskyi to win
71.9%
71.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Kurtenko above · Fedir Voinarovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 90 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Fedir Voinarovskyi at 71.9%
90 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kurtenko 4–14 Fedir Voinarovskyi Andrii Kurtenko has won 4 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:09What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Voinarovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-14 in 18
Voinarovskyi
Correct
gap of 10 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1440 vs Voinarovskyi 1424
Kurtenko
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 20% vs Voinarovskyi 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 30% vs Voinarovskyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko -3 · Voinarovskyi -1
Kurtenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Voinarovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Voinarovskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 3.50 / Voinarovskyi 1.28
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Voinarovskyi)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13079067
Kurtenko3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 66 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back18% 13 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42
Voinarovskyi1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 44 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it89% 33 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it73% 37 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko1wins
AwayVoinarovskyi9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVoinarovskyi leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayVoinarovskyi90%9 of 10
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko0Voinarovskyi10n = 10Voinarovskyi took 10 of 10
S2Kurtenko2Voinarovskyi8n = 10Voinarovskyi took 8 of 10
S3Kurtenko3Voinarovskyi7n = 10Voinarovskyi took 7 of 10
S4Kurtenko1Voinarovskyi2n = 3Voinarovskyi took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away770%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoVoinarovskyiK − VBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set010−10of 10Avg pointsper match24.234.3−10.1per matchSweeps07−73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoVoinarovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime337 / 642 vs 173 / 34052.5%50.9%337 / 642 vs 173 / 340Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VoinarovskyiKurtenko 3.50/Voinarovskyi 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.9%
Voinarovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Voinarovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 07:50A. Kurtenko—31111692F. Voinarovskyi—114411113
LJun 25 · 12:50A. Kurtenko—4340F. Voinarovskyi—1111113
LJun 4 · 06:20A. Kurtenko—7640F. Voinarovskyi—1111113
LMay 25 · 12:50A. Kurtenko—7570F. Voinarovskyi—1111113
LApr 13 · 06:30A. Kurtenko—98120F. Voinarovskyi—1111143
LMar 23 · 10:20A. Kurtenko—1480F. Voinarovskyi—1111113
WMar 14 · 11:35A. Kurtenko—31111113F. Voinarovskyi—117471
LFeb 16 · 13:50A. Kurtenko—391161F. Voinarovskyi—11113113
LJan 29 · 13:20A. Kurtenko—106110F. Voinarovskyi—1211133
LJan 26 · 07:50A. Kurtenko—6690F. Voinarovskyi—1111113
A. Kurtenko10
WSep 5 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8311119113V. Smyk1.83471141WSep 5 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.571171163D. Patalakha2.25911621LSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LSep 5 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.831112651S. Solomko1.83131011113LSep 3 · 11:30A. Kurtenko1.807111131S. Solomko1.9111110153LSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561LSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:30A. Kurtenko1.911111133E. Populovskyi1.8058110LSep 3 · 05:30D. Khairov1.40111313113A. Kurtenko2.753151151LSep 2 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.7311711123A. Kurtenko2.006115101
F. Voinarovskyi10
LSep 5 · 18:30D. Patalakha1.73121011113F. Voinarovskyi2.001012591WSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Smyk1.8311115113F. Voinarovskyi1.83771121LAug 29 · 18:00S. Solomko2.10111011113F. Voinarovskyi1.67612691WAug 29 · 17:00F. Voinarovskyi1.831111123E. Populovskyi1.8353100LAug 29 · 16:00F. Voinarovskyi2.00610100O. Osadchyi1.731112123LAug 29 · 14:30F. Voinarovskyi3.006113111A. Martyniuk1.3611711133LAug 29 · 12:30F. Voinarovskyi3.4091450O. Tymofeev1.30111683WAug 27 · 12:50F. Voinarovskyi3.001311113E. Populovskyi1.3611370LAug 27 · 10:50S. Skhabitskiy1.9111911123F. Voinarovskyi1.805116101
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