TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067277
Played Sep 3Finished
Andrii Kurtenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111111101315––
Serhii Solomko
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Kurtenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Kurtenko above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 11-0
Set 4 · 13-15
Point 69 set 4, 13-15 — our read held Andrii Kurtenko at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kurtenko 40–27 Serhii Solomko Serhii Solomko has won 27 of their 67 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:07What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kurtenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-27 in 67
Kurtenko
Wrong
gap of 13 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1447 vs Solomko 1578
Solomko
Correct
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 20% vs Solomko 60%
Solomko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 30% vs Solomko 80%
Solomko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko -2 · Solomko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Solomko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurtenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 1.80 / Solomko 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Solomko)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13067277
Kurtenko1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 159 of 264
Up 2–0, closes it90% 94 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it80% 121 of 152
Solomko1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 132 of 276
Down 0–1, comes back25% 38 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko4wins
AwaySolomko6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko66.7%4 of 6
AwaySolomko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko6Solomko4n = 10Kurtenko took 6 of 10
S2Kurtenko4Solomko6n = 10Solomko took 6 of 10
S3Kurtenko5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S4Kurtenko3Solomko4n = 7Solomko took 4 of 7
S5Kurtenko2Solomko4n = 6Solomko took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoSolomkoK − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.138.9+1.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime337 / 641 vs 520 / 101752.6%51.1%337 / 641 vs 520 / 1017Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoKurtenko 1.80/Solomko 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 12:50A. Kurtenko—111168113S. Solomko—78111182
LAug 22 · 14:00A. Kurtenko—97111162S. Solomko—111176103
WJul 15 · 11:35A. Kurtenko—111199123S. Solomko—651111102
LJun 17 · 16:20A. Kurtenko—1210111192S. Solomko—141242113
LMay 21 · 12:50A. Kurtenko—12211682S. Solomko—1011911113
WMay 18 · 08:05A. Kurtenko—1111113S. Solomko—8840
LApr 22 · 19:50A. Kurtenko—8770S. Solomko—1111113
LApr 20 · 09:20A. Kurtenko—111198102S. Solomko—371111123
WApr 19 · 18:50A. Kurtenko—11911113S. Solomko—911731
LApr 16 · 10:50A. Kurtenko—28100S. Solomko—1111123
A. Kurtenko10
WSep 5 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8311119113V. Smyk1.83471141WSep 5 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.571171163D. Patalakha2.25911621LSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LSep 5 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.831112651S. Solomko1.83131011113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113LSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561LSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:30A. Kurtenko1.911111133E. Populovskyi1.8058110LSep 3 · 05:30D. Khairov1.40111313113A. Kurtenko2.753151151LSep 2 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.7311711123A. Kurtenko2.006115101
S. Solomko10
WSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880WSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393WSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113WSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113LSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281WSep 5 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.831112651S. Solomko1.83131011113
Upcoming Matches
A. Kurtenko
Nothing scheduled
S. Solomko
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